Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8ded…d3b9
crypto · 58 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$9 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses29 / 29
Open positions0
Markets (closed)58 / 58
History coverage90d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 58 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days−$24
14 days−$24
30 days−$24
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$8 +159%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$5 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 14 $25 +$6 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$10 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$13 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $25 +$6 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 +$10 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$5 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$3 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$43 +406%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$1 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 11 $26 −$25 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $26 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $25 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $26 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Down 78¢ $30 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $26 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Down 16¢ $2 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $26 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 6¢ $5 12h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 58 -1.8% -11.1% 50% 48% -13.5%
≤30d 58 -1.8% -11.1% 50% 48% -13.5%
≤90d 58 -1.8% -11.1% 50% 48% -13.5%
all 58 -1.8% -11.1% 50% 48% -13.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.1% 48% -13.5%
10% -19.6% 41% -21.8%
15% -27.4% 38% -29.3%
20% -34.5% 29% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 121 history records