Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:04:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8dec…e0b2
other · 3 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$246 -97%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$246 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$246
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 2
Open positions1
Markets (closed)2 / 3
History coverage1d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day4.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit0%
Chart Positions 1 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$246
7 days−$246
14 days−$246
30 days−$246
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $246 $0 −$246 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $1 $0 -5%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $252 −$246 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 100% −$247
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? BUY Yes 20¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 51¢ $1 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $1 1h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 18¢ $252 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-56.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -52.4% -56.9% 0% 0% -99.5%
≤30d 2 -52.4% -56.9% 0% 0% -99.5%
≤90d 2 -52.4% -56.9% 0% 0% -99.5%
all 2 -52.4% -56.9% 0% 0% -99.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -56.9% 0% -99.5%
10% -61.1% 0% -99.6%
15% -64.8% 0% -99.6%
20% -68.3% 0% -99.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 4 history records