Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:23:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8de3…26fd
crypto · 561 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,881 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,859 · open −$22
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$294
Realized−$6,859
Unrealized−$22
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses263 / 294
Whale WR (big bets)67%
Est. fees paid−$97
Open positions2
Markets (closed)557 / 561
History coverage64d
Avg bet$179
Trades / day43.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 2 History 557 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$907
7 days−$142
14 days−$142
30 days−$1,192
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Down 40¢ 36¢ $237 $211 −$26 (-11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Up 49¢ 52¢ $80 $84 +$4 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $140 $0 −$140 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $93 +$39 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $103 +$58 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $144 +$27 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$14 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $83 −$37 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $114 +$50 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $95 +$47 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $62 +$65 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $85 +$67 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $146 −$140 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $112 +$57 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $73 +$94 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$50 +126%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $87 −$84 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $53 −$50 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $41 −$41 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $101 +$60 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $59 −$59 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 13 $62 −$62 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$73 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$104 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $124 −$124 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $125 −$125 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 13 $102 −$102 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $219 −$219 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 13 $236 −$236 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $104 −$87 -84%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $149 +$157 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $49 +$45 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $28 +$23 +83%
Will Argentina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World C Jun 12 $37 −$10 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $93 +$73 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $69 +$113 +164%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 12 $25 +$45 +181%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 11 $82 +$59 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $63 +$51 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 11 $59 +$30 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 11 $219 −$50 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $62 +$49 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $150 +$93 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $156 +$198 +127%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $122 −$122 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$6,531
sports 4% −$396
other 0% +$46
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $164 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $83 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $16 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $72 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $83 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $4 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $62 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $67 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $82 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $16 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $45 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $60 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $81 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $46 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $101 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $63 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $5 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $6 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $83 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $83 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $62 36m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 97 +3.1% -6.8% 52% 52% -10.7%
≤30d 137 -8.1% -16.9% 45% 45% -16.9%
≤90d 557 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 44% -15.7%
all 557 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 44% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 44% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -25.0% 40% -23.8%
15% -32.2% 38% -31.2%
20% -38.9% 33% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $294.42 · official $423.86 · 3500 history records