| Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Jun 18 |
$75 |
+$16 |
+21% |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? |
Jun 16 |
$285 |
+$13 |
+5% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on |
Jun 12 |
$92 |
+$8 |
+9% |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? |
May 04 |
$40 |
+$6 |
+15% |
| EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by June 30? |
May 03 |
$45 |
+$4 |
+10% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch? |
May 03 |
$40 |
+$10 |
+24% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? |
May 03 |
$24 |
+$26 |
+113% |
| Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
Apr 11 |
$64 |
+$12 |
+19% |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? |
Apr 11 |
$74 |
+$20 |
+27% |
| Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Apr 10 |
$47 |
−$47 |
-100% |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$42 |
+$5 |
+12% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$91 |
+$5 |
+6% |
| EdgeX FDV above $4B one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$46 |
+$4 |
+8% |
| Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$40 |
+$10 |
+27% |
| Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$74 |
+$6 |
+8% |
| Paradex FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$92 |
+$8 |
+9% |
| Based FDV above $500M one day after launch? |
Apr 07 |
$102 |
+$18 |
+18% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? |
Apr 07 |
$267 |
+$33 |
+12% |
| Based FDV above $800M one day after launch? |
Feb 10 |
$92 |
+$6 |
+6% |
| US strike on Colombia by January 31? |
Feb 04 |
$29 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? |
Feb 04 |
$44 |
+$6 |
+14% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? |
Feb 04 |
$15 |
+$39 |
+270% |
| Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch? |
Feb 04 |
$89 |
+$31 |
+35% |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? |
Jan 05 |
$65 |
+$14 |
+22% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2026? |
Jan 02 |
$22 |
−$22 |
-100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31? |
Jan 02 |
$186 |
+$13 |
+7% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026? |
Dec 31 |
$206 |
−$206 |
-100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? |
Dec 31 |
$32 |
+$18 |
+56% |
| Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? |
Dec 31 |
$39 |
−$24 |
-62% |
| Maduro out in 2025? |
Dec 29 |
$97 |
+$2 |
+2% |
| Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025? |
Dec 29 |
$4 |
−$4 |
-100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026? |
Dec 28 |
$77 |
−$77 |
-100% |
| Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025? |
Dec 25 |
$88 |
−$88 |
-100% |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31? |
Dec 24 |
$70 |
−$15 |
-21% |
| Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by January 31, 2026? |
Dec 24 |
$2 |
$0 |
-12% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? |
Dec 21 |
$9 |
+$1 |
+12% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 5? |
Dec 21 |
$28 |
+$2 |
+8% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? |
Dec 21 |
$51 |
+$19 |
+36% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 1? |
Dec 03 |
$19 |
+$1 |
+5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 1? |
Dec 03 |
$20 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale? |
Dec 01 |
$141 |
−$141 |
-100% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 21? |
Dec 01 |
$20 |
+$5 |
+25% |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30? |
Dec 01 |
$20 |
+$10 |
+52% |
| Solana Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
$0 |
+2% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
+$1 |
+4% |
| XRP Up or Down - November 15, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
$0 |
+1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - November 15, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
$0 |
+2% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - November 15, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET |
Nov 16 |
$20 |
$0 |
+2% |