Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:25:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8de0…5595
crypto · 611 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$50 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$50
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)76%
Wins / losses463 / 148
Open positions0
Markets (closed)611 / 611
History coverage63d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day10.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 611 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$46
14 days−$46
30 days−$16
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 09 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 94% −$28
politics 3% −$22
other 1% +$7
tech 1% −$5
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 23d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 23d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 57 -76.0% -78.3% 18% 18% -79.0%
≤30d 294 -4.1% -13.2% 73% 54% -13.9%
≤90d 611 -3.0% -12.3% 76% 46% -14.9%
all 611 -3.0% -12.3% 76% 46% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.3% 46% -14.9%
10% -20.7% 38% -23.1%
15% -28.3% 21% -30.5%
20% -35.3% 8% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1300 history records