Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:44:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8dcf…d757
crypto · 558 markets active 1h ago
2.0score
+$28 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$28 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$28
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses313 / 245
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$150
Open positions0
Markets (closed)558 / 558
History coverage56d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day21.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 558 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$8
14 days−$70
30 days−$239
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +31%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +42%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $3 +$5 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +74%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -76%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +105%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 64% −$10
crypto 27% −$204
politics 5% +$404
other 3% −$115
weather 1% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET SELL Down 3¢ $0 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 4h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju SELL Yes 99¢ $8 10h
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju BUY Yes 41¢ $1 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 15h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $1 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $2 16h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 16h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 17h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Down 17¢ $0 21h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $1 21h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 26h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $1 26h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +8.6% -1.8% 85% 58% +3.0%
≤30d 368 -6.2% -15.1% 65% 43% -12.4%
≤90d 558 -13.5% -21.7% 56% 40% -9.3%
all 558 -13.5% -21.7% 56% 40% -9.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover21.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 40% -9.3%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 26% -17.9%
15% -36.1% 18% -25.9%
20% -42.3% 12% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1648 history records