Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:58:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8dce…8f73
crypto · 1270 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$520 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$520 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$520
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses879 / 391
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1270 / 1270
History coverage113d
Avg bet$20
Trades / day16.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1270 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$36
7 days−$17
14 days−$59
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$5 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$9 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$9 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$4 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 11 $10 +$4 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$2 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$520
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 24¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET SELL Up 88¢ $7 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 15h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $5 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 41h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-9.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +0.7% -8.9% 72% 59% -11.3%
≤30d 372 +2.3% -7.5% 72% 60% -9.8%
≤90d 612 -0.3% -9.8% 71% 61% -11.4%
all 1270 -0.4% -9.9% 69% 58% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.9% 58% -11.4%
10% -18.5% 43% -19.8%
15% -26.4% 29% -27.6%
20% -33.6% 18% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records