trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -82.7% | -84.4% | 0% | 0% | -84.4% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -82.7% | -84.4% | 0% | 0% | -84.4% |
| ≤90d | 2 | -69.6% | -72.5% | 0% | 0% | -68.9% |
| all | 203 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 40% | 39% | -4.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 39% | -4.5% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 37% | -13.6% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 33% | -21.9% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 28% | -29.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Paul Skenes win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | Yes | 36¢ | 6¢ | $1,800 | $300 | −$1,500 (-83%) |
| Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Yes | 12¢ | 3¢ | $175 | $43 | −$132 (-76%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 U.S. Open? | Jun 20 | $270 | −$224 | -83% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Penguins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 21 | $500 | −$282 | -56% |
| Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 THE PLAYERS Championship? | Mar 14 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 29? | Dec 30 | $2,500 | +$129 | +5% |
| No airdrop in 2025? | Dec 30 | $1,800 | −$594 | -33% |
| Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? | Dec 30 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Steelers vs. Browns | Dec 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Chargers | Dec 09 | $500 | −$125 | -25% |
| Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff? | Dec 08 | $964 | +$7,331 | +760% |
| Spread: Patriots (-7.5) | Dec 01 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Spread: LAR (-10.5) | Dec 01 | $300 | +$256 | +85% |
| Spread: Falcons (-3.5) | Dec 01 | $300 | +$226 | +75% |
| Bills vs. Steelers | Nov 30 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Spread: Seahawks (-12.5) | Nov 30 | $410 | −$72 | -18% |
| Spread: Jaguars (-6.5) | Nov 30 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Spread: Oregon (-6.5) | Nov 30 | $300 | +$235 | +78% |
| Miami vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 49.5 | Nov 30 | $300 | +$192 | +64% |
| Texas A&M vs. Texas | Nov 29 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Spread: Eagles (-7.5) | Nov 29 | $924 | +$604 | +65% |
| Chiefs vs. Cowboys | Nov 28 | $1,255 | −$1,131 | -90% |
| Packers vs. Lions | Nov 27 | $3,000 | −$2,227 | -74% |
| Jaguars vs. Cardinals | Nov 23 | $300 | −$100 | -34% |
| Colts vs. Chiefs | Nov 23 | $2,000 | −$1,172 | -59% |
| Steelers vs. Bears | Nov 23 | $128 | −$128 | -100% |
| Vikings vs. Packers: O/U 41.5 | Nov 23 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Spread: Oregon (-9.5) | Nov 22 | $187 | −$187 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Texans | Nov 21 | $105 | −$105 | -100% |
| Cowboys vs. Raiders | Nov 18 | $17 | −$17 | -100% |
| Chiefs vs. Broncos | Nov 16 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Chargers vs. Jaguars | Nov 16 | $169 | −$169 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Dolphins | Nov 16 | $892 | −$300 | -34% |
| South Carolina vs. Texas A&M | Nov 16 | $100 | +$809 | +809% |
| Texas vs. Georgia | Nov 16 | $300 | −$150 | -50% |
| Oklahoma vs. Alabama | Nov 15 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Clemson vs. Louisville | Nov 15 | $300 | +$326 | +109% |
| Penguins vs. Predators | Nov 14 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Eagles vs. Packers | Nov 14 | $500 | +$409 | +82% |
| Spread: Oregon (-6.5) | Nov 10 | $300 | +$338 | +113% |
| Steelers vs. Chargers | Nov 09 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Bills vs. Dolphins | Nov 09 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Devils | Nov 08 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Broncos vs. Texans | Nov 08 | $300 | +$352 | +117% |
| Buccaneers vs. Saints | Nov 08 | $500 | +$202 | +40% |
| Cardinals vs. Cowboys | Nov 04 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Steelers | Nov 02 | $500 | −$24 | -5% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the AFC North? | Nov 02 | $2,000 | −$778 | -39% |
| Dodgers vs. Blue Jays | Nov 01 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Penguins vs. Jets | Nov 01 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Vanderbilt vs. Texas | Nov 01 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Commanders vs. Chiefs | Oct 28 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |