trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +126.9% | +105.3% | 100% | 100% | +105.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +18.8% | +7.5% | 75% | 50% | +28.8% |
| all | 7 | -32.1% | -38.6% | 43% | 29% | -11.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -38.6% | 29% | -11.5% |
| 10% | -44.5% | 29% | -20.0% |
| 15% | -49.8% | 29% | -27.7% |
| 20% | -54.8% | 14% | -34.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $51 | $51 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $23 | +$29 | +127% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | May 09 | $16 | +$7 | +41% |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner | Apr 12 | $15 | −$10 | -65% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 mee | Apr 11 | $15 | +$1 | +8% |
| FIFA Club World Cup: Fluminense vs. Chelsea (To Advance) | Jul 08 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jul 08 | $17 | −$9 | -51% |
| Will Fluminense vs. Chelsea end in a draw after regulation time? | Jul 08 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |