trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +78.4% | +61.4% | 50% | 50% | +62.3% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +78.4% | +61.4% | 50% | 50% | +62.3% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +78.4% | +61.4% | 50% | 50% | +62.3% |
| all | 10 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 30% | 30% | -0.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -12.5% | 30% | -0.3% |
| 10% | -20.8% | 30% | -9.8% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 30% | -18.5% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 30% | -26.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $15 | +$33 | +216% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $19 | −$19 | -97% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $15 | −$5 | -32% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$46 | +227% |
| Will the government shutdown end November 13? | Nov 13 | $10 | −$2 | -17% |
| Will the government shutdown end November 12? | Nov 12 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister? | Apr 13 | $131 | −$131 | -100% |
| Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February? | Feb 01 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k today? | Nov 23 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $200 | +$142 | +71% |