Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:12:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8da3…7c12
crypto · 809 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,189 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,205 · open +$16
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$297
Realized−$1,205
Unrealized+$16
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses540 / 262
Est. fees paid−$65
Open positions7
Markets (closed)802 / 809
History coverage108d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day24.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 7 History 802 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$148
14 days−$148
30 days−$113
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 69¢ 100¢ $59 $85 +$26 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 80¢ 100¢ $55 $68 +$13 (+24%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FURIA 73¢ 84¢ $49 $56 +$7 (+14%)
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Washed 66¢ 34¢ $56 $29 −$26 (-47%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Bebop 69¢ 40¢ $39 $23 −$16 (-42%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 88¢ 88¢ $18 $18 +$0 (+0%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage KOLESIE 62¢ 60¢ $14 $14 −$1 (-5%)
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs STATE 74¢ 44¢ $8 $5 −$3 (-40%)
Will CD Universidad Católica vs. Cruzeiro EC end in a draw? No 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-09? No 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will VfL Bochum win on 2026-05-09? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will FK Teplice win on 2026-05-12? No 77¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will FC Seoul vs. FC Anyang end in a draw? No 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will SS Juve Stabia win on 2026-05-08? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw? No 45¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-04-11? No 32¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? No 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Heart of Midlothian FC vs. Rangers FC end in a draw? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Carrarese Calcio win on 2026-05-08? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-09? No 47¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will El Gouna SC win on 2026-05-12? Yes 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-05-03? No 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Will Petrojet SC vs. Wadi Degla SC end in a draw? No 63¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-05-09? Yes 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $63 +$21 +33%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $74 −$39 -53%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $37 +$12 +31%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $53 +$20 +37%
Counter-Strike: Oxuji Esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 13 $4 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $105 −$21 -20%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $99 −$29 -29%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $32 +$13 +41%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $72 +$11 +15%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $61 +$33 +53%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group A Jun 12 $57 −$27 -48%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $67 +$23 +34%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 −$43 -84%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Grou Jun 12 $17 +$5 +33%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $54 +$26 +49%
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B Jun 12 $29 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $99 −$33 -34%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 12 $42 −$28 -66%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $52 +$8 +15%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $49 +$15 +32%
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire Academy vs WRAITH PCIFIC (BO3) - TESFED L Jun 12 $4 −$4 -99%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $79 +$23 +29%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $78 −$29 -37%
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - European Pro League Serie Jun 12 $96 −$27 -28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $47 +$24 +50%
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Jun 12 $70 +$7 +10%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 G Jun 12 $40 −$15 -37%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $38 +$11 +27%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Jun 12 $48 +$15 +32%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $55 +$21 +39%
Will GV CD San José vs. CD Real Tomayapo end in a draw? Jun 12 $6 −$1 -21%
Will GV CD San José win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $8 −$3 -43%
Will CD Real Tomayapo win on 2026-05-12? Jun 12 $8 −$2 -23%
Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs F5 Esports (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Jun 12 $20 +$4 +18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 +$13 +26%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $49 +$23 +48%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $87 −$17 -20%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $32 +$9 +26%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $41 +$17 +43%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $36 +$9 +25%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group S Jun 11 $22 +$11 +51%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $12 +$3 +23%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $48 +$26 +55%
Counter-Strike: AM Gaming vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Jun 11 $34 +$14 +41%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group S Jun 11 $16 +$5 +32%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $65 +$5 +7%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $85 −$50 -59%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage Jun 11 $6 −$1 -16%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Grou Jun 11 $3 $0 -12%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 10? Jun 11 $4 +$1 +37%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$592
sports 18% −$399
other 10% −$197
weather 0% +$1
world 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 81¢ $4 1m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 65¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 67¢ $5 6m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 89¢ $4 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 88¢ $4 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 87¢ $4 13m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 86¢ $4 14m
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs STATE (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY STATE 69¢ $4 22m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 79¢ $5 29m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 69¢ $5 37m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 70¢ $5 45m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 76¢ $5 46m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 71¢ $5 50m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 77¢ $5 54m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 76¢ $5 54m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 73¢ $5 57m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 73¢ $5 57m
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 71¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 70¢ $5 58m
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 66¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY Bebop 64¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 73¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 72¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 71¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY FURIA 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St BUY KOLESIE 57¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 70¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs BUY Washed 64¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 74 +0.5% -9.0% 57% 54% -12.9%
≤30d 76 +2.1% -7.6% 58% 54% -12.1%
≤90d 399 -0.1% -9.6% 50% 38% -16.1%
all 802 -1.0% -10.4% 67% 39% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 39% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 26% -21.2%
15% -26.8% 15% -28.8%
20% -34.0% 9% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $297.18 · official $297.19 (match) · 3292 history records