Wallet analysis

2026-06-20T14:50:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8D 0x8d96…a7fb crypto 1377 markets active 0h ago coverage 25d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 24d only
✗ bot/MM pace (83 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$291 (+1%) realized +$291 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate95%1307W / 70L
Drawdown86%max
Avg bet$27per market
Trades / day82.5pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$23
7 days−$296
14 days+$100
30 days+$219
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% +$219
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (83 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-9.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 441 -7.1% -15.9% 89% 4% -11.2%
≤30d 1377 +0.0% -9.5% 95% 5% -9.0%
≤90d 1377 +0.0% -9.5% 95% 5% -9.0%
all 1377 +0.0% -9.5% 95% 5% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover82.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.5% 5% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.2% 2% -17.7%
15% -26.1% 2% -25.7%
20% -33.3% 1% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 7% · top 2 10% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +0% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -4% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$12 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×1.26 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

25d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$291
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)95%
Wins / losses1307 / 70
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1377 / 1377
History coverage25d ⚠
Avg bet$27
Trades / day82.5
Drawdown86%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1377 Trades
no open positions (9 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 20 $198 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 20 $94 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 20 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 20 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 20 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 20 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 20 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 20 $89 +$11 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 20 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 20 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 20 $8 −$8 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $20 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 20 $201 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 19 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 19 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 19 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 19 $9 −$9 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $0 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $24 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $51 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $94 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $10 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records