Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:40:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d76…6d96
crypto · 1032 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$394 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$394 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$394
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses484 / 592
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1076 / 1032
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day221.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1076 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$377
7 days−$472
14 days−$394
30 days−$394
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 13 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$57
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 472 -24.2% -31.4% 36% 35% -30.5%
≤30d 1076 -8.7% -17.4% 45% 44% -15.8%
≤90d 1076 -8.7% -17.4% 45% 44% -15.8%
all 1076 -8.7% -17.4% 45% 44% -15.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover221.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 44% -15.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 42% -23.8%
15% -32.5% 42% -31.2%
20% -39.2% 40% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records