Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:26:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d60…4d1d
crypto · 328 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$118 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$116 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$116
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses126 / 201
Open positions1
Markets (closed)327 / 328
History coverage101d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 327 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days−$7
30 days−$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 5¢ 1¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-75%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Down 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 64¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 04 $1 +$1 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 04 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 04 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 04 $3 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 04 $3 −$2 -64%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Mar 21 $3 −$3 -99%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Mar 21 $3 −$3 -97%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Mar 21 $1 $0 -0%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -98%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Mar 21 $2 +$3 +216%
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Mar 21 $1 +$2 +163%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Mar 21 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Mar 21 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Mar 21 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 16? Mar 15 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7? Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Mar 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Mar 14 $5 −$4 -70%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Mar 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Mar 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Mar 14 $3 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Mar 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 7? Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Mar 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Mar 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Mar 14 $4 −$1 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Mar 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Mar 14 $2 +$2 +111%
Solana Up or Down - March 14, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Mar 14 $1 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Mar 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? Mar 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Mar 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Mar 14 $11 +$6 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Mar 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Mar 14 $5 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Mar 14 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Mar 14 $3 −$1 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Mar 14 $8 +$15 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Mar 14 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Mar 14 $3 +$6 +200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Mar 14 $6 +$4 +61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$112
other 0% −$1
finance 0% −$4
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $3 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 9d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 9d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 5¢ $1 84d
Solana Up or Down - March 21, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 84d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 10 -38.3% -44.2% 40% 40% -51.4%
≤90d 20 -29.0% -35.7% 35% 35% -48.7%
all 327 -14.9% -23.0% 39% 36% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.0% 36% -14.1%
10% -30.4% 32% -22.3%
15% -37.1% 30% -29.8%
20% -43.3% 23% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.51 · official $0.51 (match) · 1001 history records