trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +44.0% | +30.3% | 100% | 100% | +30.3% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +44.0% | +30.3% | 100% | 100% | +30.3% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -56.2% | -60.3% | 31% | 31% | -25.9% |
| all | 13 | -56.2% | -60.3% | 31% | 31% | -25.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -60.3% | 31% | -25.9% |
| 10% | -64.1% | 31% | -33.0% |
| 15% | -67.6% | 23% | -39.5% |
| 20% | -70.8% | 8% | -45.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | Yes | 34¢ | 32¢ | $300 | $287 | −$13 (-4%) |
| Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw? | Yes | 40¢ | 44¢ | $200 | $218 | +$18 (+9%) |
| Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 80¢ | 86¢ | $100 | $108 | +$8 (+8%) |
| Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $100 | $99 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 54¢ | 76¢ | $50 | $70 | +$20 (+40%) |
| Will Canada win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 32¢ | 60¢ | $20 | $37 | +$17 (+86%) |
| Will Cape Verde finish last in Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage? | Yes | 52¢ | 18¢ | $100 | $36 | −$64 (-64%) |
| Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 25¢ | 12¢ | $55 | $27 | −$28 (-51%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Jun 24 | $100 | +$59 | +59% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | Jun 24 | $100 | +$33 | +33% |
| Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 24 | $101 | +$40 | +40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET | May 05 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli | Apr 28 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28? | Apr 28 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET | Apr 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-04-10? | Apr 10 | $50 | −$49 | -97% |
| Trump announces Hormuz deadline extension today? | Apr 07 | $100 | +$38 | +38% |
| Will Kateryna Lagno win the 2026 FIDE Women's Candidates Tournament? | Apr 07 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament? | Apr 07 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | Apr 07 | $99 | −$99 | -100% |