Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:12:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d3c…2b52
sports · 165 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
−$248 -17%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$250 · open +$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$109
Realized−$250
Unrealized+$2
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses89 / 73
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions3
Markets (closed)162 / 165
History coverage1188d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 3 History 162 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$25
7 days−$29
14 days−$13
30 days+$20
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 98¢ 100¢ $98 $100 +$2 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 34¢ 46¢ $3 $5 +$1 (+34%)
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Over 50¢ 43¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-14%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $3 $0 +0%
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffs Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 −$1 -31%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $7 +$3 +43%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G Jun 11 $7 +$3 +46%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $5 −$5 -93%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Hyperliquid reach $66 by December 31, 2026? Jun 03 $10 +$21 +212%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $13 +$7 +55%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $5 +$2 +41%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 24 $4 +$6 +150%
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs May 22 $7 +$3 +42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 22 $5 −$5 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 20 $5 +$5 +109%
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka May 18 $6 +$4 +65%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 18 $5 +$5 +100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 May 17 $4 +$6 +150%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 08 $6 −$6 -100%
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5 May 07 $5 +$5 +108%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 06 $1 +$9 +900%
Everton FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5 May 06 $6 +$4 +67%
LoL: Shifters vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season May 06 $6 +$4 +54%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 06 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 04 $15 +$5 +37%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 04 $6 −$6 -100%
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 27 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 27 $9 +$1 +11%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 27 $7 +$3 +49%
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner Apr 27 $8 +$2 +25%
LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $7 −$7 -100%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 25 $5 $0 +7%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Apr 24 $7 −$7 -100%
Counter-Strike: Brute vs aimclub (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Apr 24 $1 $0 +12%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Apr 24 $9 +$1 +11%
Counter-Strike: Brute vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Apr 24 $15 +$1 +8%
Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Apr 20 $7 −$7 -100%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Apr 20 $13 −$13 -100%
LoL: Team Heretics vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Apr 20 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 19 $3 +$7 +233%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 19 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 18 $3 +$7 +238%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Apr 18 $7 +$3 +43%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffs Apr 18 $0 $0 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 76% −$62
other 15% −$134
crypto 8% −$59
finance 1% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 34¢ $3 5m
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 35m
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 98¢ $98 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 30¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 SELL Over 30¢ $2 1h
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 30¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 55¢ $6 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 26¢ $3 23h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 37¢ $4 23h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 70¢ $7 38h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 55¢ $6 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - EMEA Masters G BUY Team Heretics Academy 68¢ $7 2d
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 0¢ $1 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 4¢ $0 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 3d
Games Total: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 14d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 64¢ $6 15d
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Dplus KIA 64¢ $6 15d
LoL: Galions vs TLN Pirates (BO5) - LFL Playoffs BUY TLN Pirates 10¢ $1 15d
LoL: Ozarox Esports vs PCIFIC (BO5) - TCL Playoffs BUY Ozarox Esports 5¢ $0 17d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs SELL G2 Esports 65¢ $6 18d
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs BUY G2 Esports 45¢ $5 18d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $4 21d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 50¢ $5 23d
LoL: TLN Pirates vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO3) - LFL Playoffs BUY Karmine Corp Blue 70¢ $7 23d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 47¢ $5 23d
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka SELL Stan Wawrinka 99¢ $10 25d
Geneva Open: Raul Brancaccio vs Stan Wawrinka BUY Stan Wawrinka 60¢ $6 25d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY KT Rolster 50¢ $5 27d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 40¢ $1 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -61.3% -65.0% 17% 17% -57.6%
≤30d 23 -0.5% -10.0% 48% 48% +5.2%
≤90d 135 +4.4% -5.6% 56% 53% -7.2%
all 162 -0.9% -10.4% 55% 51% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 51% -26.4%
10% -19.0% 42% -33.4%
15% -26.8% 32% -39.9%
20% -34.0% 22% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $108.80 · official $108.80 (match) · 380 history records