Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:21:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d30…9260
crypto · 1536 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$340 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$436 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$436
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses1273 / 381
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1654 / 1536
History coverage22d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day99.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1654 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$193
7 days−$200
14 days−$432
30 days−$436
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 84¢ 82¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Up 89¢ 86¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-4%)
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 3, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 81¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$5 -124%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$5 -116%
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 10, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -103%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -114%
Solana Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 12, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 14, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 23, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -101%
XRP Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 11, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$5 -104%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$240
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET SELL Down 77¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 6h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 6h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET SELL Up 67¢ $1 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $1 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $1 10h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 11h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 12h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +61%
net ROI/market (all)-17.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 551 -22.0% -29.5% 65% 50% -22.9%
≤30d 1654 -8.7% -17.4% 77% 61% -15.9%
≤90d 1654 -8.7% -17.4% 77% 61% -15.9%
all 1654 -8.7% -17.4% 77% 61% -15.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover99.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.4% 61% -15.9%
10% ← realistic here -25.3% 18% -24.0%
15% -32.5% 4% -31.3%
20% -39.2% 1% -38.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.94 · official $1.94 (match) · 3500 history records