Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:17:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d1d…ed4a
crypto · 524 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$17,409 +9%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$16,848 · open +$561
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,004
Realized+$16,848
Unrealized+$561
Win rate (resolved)63%
Wins / losses325 / 194
Whale WR (big bets)92%
Open positions6
Markets (closed)519 / 524
History coverage2d
Avg bet$376
Trades / day1360.1
Drawdown11%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 6 History 519 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$14,868
7 days+$16,848
14 days+$16,848
30 days+$16,848
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 73¢ 100¢ $1,309 $1,800 +$491 (+38%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Up 76¢ 100¢ $907 $1,200 +$293 (+32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 3¢ 0¢ $9 $2 −$8 (-81%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+9%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $186 $0 −$186 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $844 −$78 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $228 −$228 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $546 +$54 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $481 +$119 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $532 +$68 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $578 +$22 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $579 +$8 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $807 +$151 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $981 +$206 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$20 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Jun 12 $926 −$16 -2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $764 +$84 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$19 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1,755 +$45 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $561 −$6 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $506 +$88 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $183 +$26 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $446 +$148 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $409 +$131 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $494 +$106 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $526 +$74 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $508 +$92 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $487 +$113 +23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$4 -4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $795 +$67 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1,104 +$96 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $430 +$164 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $465 +$117 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $515 +$73 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $500 −$500 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $522 +$71 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $541 +$53 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $208 +$22 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $103 +$49 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $161 +$20 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $333 +$231 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $576 +$24 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$2 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $519 +$75 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $137 +$3 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$17,416
other 0% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $6 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $593 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $593 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $98 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $190 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $39 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $224 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $17 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $10 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $101 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $23 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $179 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $146 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $2 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $189 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $3 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $6 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $593 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $364 21m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 519 -5.1% -14.1% 63% 38% -2.2%
≤30d 519 -5.1% -14.1% 63% 38% -2.2%
≤90d 519 -5.1% -14.1% 63% 38% -2.2%
all 519 -5.1% -14.1% 63% 38% -2.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1360.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 38% -2.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 18% -11.5%
15% -29.9% 8% -20.1%
20% -36.7% 5% -27.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,003.78 · official $2,999.62 (match) · 3500 history records