Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T10:51:41+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d19…bf25
sports · 1728 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$5,858 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,045 · open −$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$518
Realized−$1,045
Unrealized−$6
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses895 / 933
Est. fees paid−$200
Open positions10
Markets (closed)1828 / 1728
History coverage50d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day61.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 10 History 1828 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,595
7 days−$1,970
14 days−$724
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch Martin Landaluce 78¢ 77¢ $170 $168 −$2 (-1%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Lorenzo Sonego 61¢ 62¢ $125 $126 +$1 (+1%)
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ 37¢ $79 $80 +$1 (+1%)
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 12¢ $40 $45 +$5 (+12%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+2%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 17¢ $20 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $20 $19 −$1 (-3%)
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-9%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 7¢ $20 $18 −$2 (-12%)
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-60%)
Madrid Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Lorenzo Musetti Tallon Griekspoor 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Maddison Inglis 25¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 64¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card) Daniel Santos 62¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Sox Seattle Mariners 66¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Yannick Hanfmann 43¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will JEF United Ichihara Chiba vs. Yokohama F·Marinos end in a draw? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-27? Yes 56¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Ekaterina Alexandrova 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Cattolica: Liam Broady vs Raul Brancaccio Liam Broady 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Katie Boulter vs Eva Lys Katie Boulter 64¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Jeline Vandromme Jeline Vandromme 43¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-04-22? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Henan FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Le Mans FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24? Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $78 −$78 -100%
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-04-15? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Madrid Open: Elmer Moeller vs Gabriel Diallo Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Real Valladolid CF win on 2026-04-13? Jun 14 $49 −$49 -100%
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-16? Jun 14 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 29, 9AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-04-12? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Leyton Orient FC win on 2026-04-18? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Sanfrecce Hiroshima win on 2026-04-11? Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$5 -58%
Will Odense BK vs. Randers FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Murcia: Jesper de Jong vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-19? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Madrid Open, Qualification: Stefano Travaglia vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Torino FC win on 2026-04-19? Jun 14 $26 −$26 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 30, 9PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Ittihad Saudi Club win on 2026-04-07? Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 1AM ET Jun 14 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Querétaro FC win on 2026-04-17? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - January 23, 1AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22? Jun 14 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Lakers vs. Clippers Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Miami Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 14 $30 −$30 -100%
Will FC Rapid 1923 win on 2026-04-05? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Palermo FC win on 2026-04-10? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Watford FC win on 2026-01-21? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-03-12? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 2, 2AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will FC Seoul vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Como 1907 end in a draw? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Oilers vs. Penguins Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-20? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Will UC Sampdoria win on 2025-12-12? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-01-01? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 29, 2AM ET Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Nuggets vs. Spurs Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-04? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will CD Palestino win on 2026-04-14? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - January 24, 11AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-03-03? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14? Jun 14 $55 −$55 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 43% +$946
other 36% +$549
crypto 21% +$1,441
world 0% +$47
weather 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Tom Gentzsch BUY Martin Landaluce 78¢ $171 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Lorenzo Sonego vs Nikoloz Basilashvili BUY Lorenzo Sonego 61¢ $126 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Raphael Collignon vs Roberto Bautista Agut BUY Roberto Bautista Agut 36¢ $81 1h
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $24 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? SELL Yes 100¢ $306 5h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 65¢ $201 11h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 1.5 AND Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 61¢ $100 11h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $100 13h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 51¢ $44 14h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will United States win on 2026 BUY 30¢ $10 37h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $10 37h
Will Igor Thiago be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 37h
United States to score first vs. Paraguay? BUY Yes 57¢ $17 37h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $172 37h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $254 39h
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Lucia Bronzetti 58¢ $9 42h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $30 42h
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans BUY Kimmer Coppejans 41¢ $14 42h
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Kamilla Rakhimova 20¢ $5 46h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 25¢ $5 46h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Daniil Medvedev 37¢ $5 46h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 62¢ $25 46h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria BUY Elena Rybakina 60¢ $51 47h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Alexander Shevchenko 59¢ $40 47h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Viktorija Golubic 64¢ $19 2d
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 57¢ $15 2d
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla BUY Dusan Lajovic 52¢ $25 2d
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Adrian Mannarino 60¢ $28 2d
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-19.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 433 -53.1% -57.5% 26% 25% -28.5%
≤30d 992 -16.1% -24.1% 48% 47% -9.5%
≤90d 1828 -11.3% -19.8% 49% 48% -12.1%
all 1828 -11.3% -19.8% 49% 48% -12.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover61.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.8% 48% -12.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.4% 46% -20.5%
15% -34.5% 41% -28.2%
20% -40.9% 34% -35.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $518.34 · official $518.34 (match) · 3500 history records