trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $3 | +$7 | +227% |
| Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 | Jun 13 | $2 | $0 | +24% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +44% |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$1 | +34% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$2 | -49% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $3 | −$1 | -25% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $7 | −$4 | -60% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -96% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | Jun 11 | $5 | +$1 | +10% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET | Jun 11 | $15 | +$3 | +21% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET | Jun 09 | $26 | +$7 | +29% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | Jun 09 | $30 | −$3 | -8% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | Jun 09 | $25 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET | Jun 09 | $136 | +$5 | +3% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 15 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 60% | 40% | -5.1% |
| ≤30d | 15 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 60% | 40% | -5.1% |
| ≤90d | 15 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 60% | 40% | -5.1% |
| all | 15 | -4.8% | -13.9% | 60% | 40% | -5.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -13.9% | 40% | -5.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -22.1% | 33% | -14.2% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 13% | -22.5% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 7% | -30.1% |