trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 18 | +29.8% | +17.4% | 67% | 61% | +39.6% |
| ≤30d | 19 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 63% | 58% | +36.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 63% | 58% | +36.4% |
| all | 19 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 63% | 58% | +36.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +11.3% | 58% | +36.4% |
| 10% | +0.6% | 53% | +23.4% |
| 15% | -9.1% | 53% | +11.5% |
| 20% | -18.0% | 42% | +0.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 50¢ | 30¢ | $220 | $129 | −$91 (-41%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $30 | $33 | +$3 (+9%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 62¢ | 66¢ | $10 | $11 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $10 | −$10 (-50%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 89¢ | 88¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 68¢ | 68¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 61¢ | 60¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 88¢ | 84¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 6¢ | 5¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-9%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $10 | $9 | −$1 (-15%) |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $5 | $4 | −$1 (-22%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $20 | +$15 | +72% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$1 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $20 | +$12 | +60% |
| Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $101 | +$87 | +86% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $30 | +$32 | +105% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$34 | +67% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $20 | +$33 | +163% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$5 | +50% |
| Exact Score: Any Other Score? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Senegal? | Jun 16 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Cabo Verde? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$23 | +226% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $20 | +$51 | +250% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the June 2026 meeting? | Jun 05 | $10 | −$10 | -95% |