Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:43:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d0a…6520
crypto · 496 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$35 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses281 / 214
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)495 / 496
History coverage37d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day26.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 495 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days−$20
14 days−$15
30 days−$40
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$4 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$3 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$4 +123%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +125%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$75
sports 1% −$1
tech 0% +$4
other 0% +$37
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -7.7% -16.5% 63% 48% -16.4%
≤30d 348 -7.4% -16.2% 57% 45% -15.7%
≤90d 495 -4.6% -13.7% 57% 42% -12.9%
all 495 -4.6% -13.7% 57% 42% -12.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 42% -12.9%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 33% -21.2%
15% -29.5% 25% -28.9%
20% -36.4% 20% -35.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1127 history records