Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:05:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d07…b9fe
sports · 509 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,326 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,321 · open −$8
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$71
Realized−$1,321
Unrealized−$8
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses158 / 374
Est. fees paid−$314
Open positions10
Markets (closed)532 / 509
History coverage13d
Avg bet$19
Trades / day258.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 532 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$634
7 days−$1,159
14 days−$1,321
30 days−$1,321
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti Nuria Brancaccio 1¢ 6¢ $2 $9 +$8 (+450%)
Makarska: Petra Marcinko vs Barbora Palicova Barbora Palicova 41¢ 100¢ $2 $6 +$3 (+141%)
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Jakub Mensik 5¢ 100¢ $0 $5 +$5 (+1900%)
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri Andrea Guerrieri 21¢ 10¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Tristan Schoolkate 4¢ 6¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+37%)
HSBC Championships (Doubles): Fernandez/Siegemund vs Panova/Schuurs Panova/Schuurs 1¢ 0¢ $7 $3 −$3 (-50%)
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 39¢ 22¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-42%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 1¢ 0¢ $6 $3 −$4 (-59%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 31¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+222%)
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Kirkov/Miedler Kirkov/Miedler 26¢ 21¢ $2 $1 −$0 (-19%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Darwin Blanch 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+116%)
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Robin Montgomery 58¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+72%)
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Donna Vekic 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+178%)
Tyler (Doubles): Bollipalli/Ramanathan vs Fenty/Perez Bollipalli/Ramanathan 27¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+270%)
Libema Open, Qualification: Alexander Maarten Jong vs Shintaro Mochizuki Alexander Maarten Jong 24¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+311%)
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Caty McNally 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayo Braden Shick 34¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+194%)
Libema Open: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Panna Udvardy Panna Udvardy 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Hanne Vandewinkel 35¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+186%)
Birmingham: Gabriela Knutson vs Joanna Garland Gabriela Knutson 41¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+144%)
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Filippo Romano 52¢ 44¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Birmingham: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Katie Swan Katie Swan 43¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+133%)
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+56%)
Birmingham: Clement Chidekh vs Filippo Romano Filippo Romano 14¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+614%)
Lyon: Laslo Djere vs Kimmer Coppejans Kimmer Coppejans 45¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+122%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Roland Garros ATP: Alex de Minaur vs Jakub Mensik Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Perez/Schuurs vs Errani/Tagger Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Emiliano Grillo win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Alex Michelsen vs Rafael Jodar Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Will Andrey Rublev win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Quentin Halys vs Alexander Zverev Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Pierceson Coody win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Luke Clanton win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Diego Dedura-Palomero Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Michael Brennan win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Oleksandra Oliynykova Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Learner Tien Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Chisinau: Radu Albot vs Cezar Cretu Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Little Rock: Michael Mmoh vs Bernard Tomic Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Iva Jovic vs Naomi Osaka Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Peyton Stearns vs Belinda Bencic Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Andrew Novak win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Alex Smalley win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Tyler Zink Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Chisinau: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Stefanos Sakellaridis Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Will Mackenzie Hughes win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will A.J. Ewart win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Kosice: Andrej Martin vs Martin Krumich Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Moise Kouame vs Alejandro Tabilo Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Siniakova/Townsend vs Arango/Jovic Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Daria Kasatkina Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Martins/Sierra vs Kempen/Klepac Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Thorbjorn Olesen win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Little Rock: Fajing Sun vs Jay Dylan Friend Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Kosice: Taro Daniel vs Mathys Erhard Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Vicenza: Stefano Travaglia vs Jacopo Vasami Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Galloway/Peers Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $25 −$8 -31%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $36 −$13 -35%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $9 $0 +1%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $66 +$17 +26%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $1 +$1 +100%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $106 −$6 -6%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $5 +$2 +32%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $0 $0 -97%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Kimmer Coppejans Jun 12 $42 −$12 -28%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $26 −$14 -53%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 12 $20 −$14 -71%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $27 −$26 -97%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $31 +$18 +59%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $0 $0 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$964
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 52¢ $5 0m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Nuria Brancaccio 2¢ $1 1m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti SELL Nuria Brancaccio 2¢ $2 2m
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 39¢ $5 5m
Modena: Nuria Brancaccio vs Lucia Bronzetti BUY Nuria Brancaccio 1¢ $5 5m
Stuttgart Open (Doubles): Hanfmann/Struff vs Kirkov/Miedler BUY Kirkov/Miedler 26¢ $2 7m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 4¢ $4 12m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 13¢ $5 14m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 1¢ $5 15m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 9¢ $0 16m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet SELL Tristan Schoolkate 8¢ $0 21m
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Tristan Schoolkate 5¢ $0 22m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Jack Pinnington Jones 35¢ $5 42m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones SELL Filippo Romano 69¢ $5 45m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Jack Pinnington Jones 34¢ $5 46m
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones BUY Filippo Romano 52¢ $5 47m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 20¢ $3 50m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 56¢ $5 50m
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 26¢ $3 51m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri SELL Andrea Guerrieri 51¢ $5 56m
Cattolica: Francesco Forti vs Andrea Guerrieri BUY Andrea Guerrieri 49¢ $5 57m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 33¢ $0 58m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Mattia Bellucci 53¢ $5 1h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 49¢ $5 1h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi SELL Carlos Maria Zarate 40¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 13¢ $1 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Frances Tiafoe 15¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 4¢ $3 1h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Frances Tiafoe 19¢ $5 1h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Keegan Smith 2¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-16.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 313 -1.4% -10.8% 30% 25% -33.6%
≤30d 532 -8.2% -16.9% 30% 25% -24.1%
≤90d 532 -8.2% -16.9% 30% 25% -24.1%
all 532 -8.2% -16.9% 30% 25% -24.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover258.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.9% 25% -24.1%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 21% -31.3%
15% -32.1% 17% -38.0%
20% -38.8% 15% -44.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $70.51 · official $42.95 · 3500 history records