Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T12:44:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8D
0x8d07…83a6
sports · 44 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$11
Realized−$4
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses18 / 19
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions7
Markets (closed)37 / 44
History coverage4d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day206.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 37 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$4
14 days−$4
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 40¢ 65¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+62%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 31¢ 56¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+78%)
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Arthur Gea 15¢ 12¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-23%)
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Thijs Boogaard 69¢ 26¢ $3 $1 −$2 (-62%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 86¢ 64¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-25%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Keegan Smith 22¢ 36¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+61%)
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Tristan Boyer 52¢ 44¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-15%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 49¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 75¢ 66¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-11%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 27¢ 34¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+24%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 62¢ 35¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-44%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 12 $4 +$1 +17%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $71 +$2 +3%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $13 $0 -0%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $9 $0 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $12 +$2 +14%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 +$1 +15%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $4 $0 -12%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $1 $0 +7%
Tucuman: Santiago Rodriguez Taverna vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 11 $3 $0 +10%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $41 −$2 -6%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $9 −$2 -26%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $6 −$1 -12%
Lyon: Pedro Martinez vs Felix Balshaw Jun 11 $5 +$1 +13%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $13 −$1 -6%
Bratislava: Taro Daniel vs Emilio Nava Jun 11 $24 −$13 -55%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $6 +$2 +34%
Modena: Tamara Zidansek vs Nuria Brancaccio Jun 11 $1 $0 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $3 $0 +0%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $2 $0 -5%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Jun 11 $2 −$1 -43%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Zhizhen Zhang Jun 11 $10 +$3 +27%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $11 $0 -2%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $3 $0 +13%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $10 +$3 +26%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 11 $2 $0 -1%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Zeynep Sonmez Jun 11 $1 $0 -0%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 11 $2 $0 -6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $3 +$1 +20%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $35 +$6 +16%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $35 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 76¢ $1 2m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 51¢ $2 2m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 64¢ $1 3m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard SELL Thijs Boogaard 60¢ $0 3m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 47¢ $0 4m
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard BUY Thijs Boogaard 69¢ $1 4m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 52¢ $0 4m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Sorana Cirstea 49¢ $0 5m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu SELL Sorana Cirstea 49¢ $0 5m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 49¢ $1 5m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo SELL Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 58¢ $0 5m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 16¢ $1 5m
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo BUY Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo 67¢ $1 6m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 65¢ $0 9m
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal BUY Arthur Gea 14¢ $1 10m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 71¢ $2 10m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 70¢ $0 10m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 70¢ $0 10m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 70¢ $1 10m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 62¢ $1 11m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Dayana Yastremska 62¢ $1 11m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 34¢ $0 13m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ $0 13m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz SELL Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 42¢ $1 15m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 35¢ $0 18m
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 44¢ $1 19m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Ajla Tomljanovic 89¢ $1 31m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska BUY Ajla Tomljanovic 85¢ $1 34m
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska SELL Dayana Yastremska 51¢ $0 39m
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic SELL Marin Cilic 35¢ $0 39m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 -4.9% -13.9% 49% 27% -10.5%
≤30d 37 -4.9% -13.9% 49% 27% -10.5%
≤90d 37 -4.9% -13.9% 49% 27% -10.5%
all 37 -4.9% -13.9% 49% 27% -10.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover206.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 27% -10.5%
10% ← realistic here -22.2% 8% -19.1%
15% -29.7% 0% -26.9%
20% -36.6% 0% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $11.34 · official $10.00 · 875 history records