Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8ced…0fee
sports · 546 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$39,770 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$39,270 · open −$500
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$39,270
Unrealized−$500
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses283 / 262
Whale WR (big bets)53%
Est. fees paid−$2,539
Open positions1
Markets (closed)545 / 546
History coverage130d
Avg bet$551
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit83%
Chart Positions 1 History 545 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,803
7 days−$5,406
14 days−$6,246
30 days−$13,236
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1? Under 71¢ 0¢ $254 $0 −$254 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 19¢ 0¢ $43 $0 −$43 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 57¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winner Movistar KOI 43¢ 0¢ $230 $0 −$230 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 44¢ 0¢ $490 $0 −$490 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs G2 Esports - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp 90¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Bilibili Gaming 59¢ 0¢ $457 $0 −$457 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winner Invictus Gaming 74¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1? Over 64¢ 0¢ $170 $0 −$170 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner KT Rolster 71¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 64¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs ThunderTalk Gaming 57¢ 0¢ $612 $0 −$612 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Under 64¢ 0¢ $918 $0 −$918 (-100%)
LoL: Oh My God vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner Oh My God 1¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner DN SOOPers 48¢ 0¢ $480 $0 −$480 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Team Vitality 62¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner Natus Vincere 32¢ 0¢ $290 $0 −$290 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? Over 67¢ 0¢ $80 $0 −$80 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ 0¢ $501 $0 −$501 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner LGD Gaming 9¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Barça eSports 18¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2 Weibo Gaming 38¢ 0¢ $250 $0 −$250 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 52¢ 0¢ $159 $0 −$159 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $579 −$412 -71%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $392 −$369 -94%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,516 −$1,151 -76%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $507 +$453 +89%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $203 +$137 +67%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $425 −$420 -99%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $213 +$215 +101%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $335 −$244 -73%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 11 $133 −$12 -9%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $161 −$159 -99%
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $127 +$35 +27%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $282 −$49 -17%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $2,111 −$1,771 -84%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,660 +$286 +17%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,140 +$519 +46%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $3,606 −$2,465 -68%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $453 +$146 +32%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $293 +$163 +55%
LoL: Barça eSports vs ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix (BO3) - LES Playoffs Jun 05 $102 −$100 -98%
Will China PR win on 2026-06-05? Jun 05 $503 +$114 +23%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $2,009 +$258 +13%
LoL: MVK Esports vs GAM Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $692 +$328 +47%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 05 $1,849 −$637 -34%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $1,008 +$328 +32%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? Jun 05 $928 −$918 -99%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club (BO5) - LES Playoffs Jun 04 $71 −$38 -52%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $273 +$101 +37%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 3 Winner Jun 04 $284 +$290 +102%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $168 +$216 +128%
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 Winner Jun 04 $213 +$152 +71%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 4 Winner Jun 04 $177 +$142 +80%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $306 +$522 +171%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $512 −$373 -73%
LoL: Solary vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $333 +$137 +41%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $691 +$101 +15%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $2,088 +$601 +29%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1,702 +$385 +23%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $620 −$612 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $901 +$88 +10%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $844 +$370 +44%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 02 $81 +$35 +43%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $701 +$43 +6%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 1? Jun 02 $94 +$47 +50%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $510 −$448 -88%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $490 −$480 -98%
Total Kills Over/Under 26.5 in Game 1? Jun 01 $680 +$465 +68%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $506 −$500 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $508 +$535 +105%
Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? Jun 01 $331 −$16 -5%
Total Kills Over/Under 28.5 in Game 1? May 31 $134 +$59 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$34,877
other 11% −$2,902
crypto 3% −$1,982
weather 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
United States vs. Paraguay: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 58¢ $506 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 6¢ $2 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 14¢ $165 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 46¢ $579 15h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 2¢ $23 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 32¢ $392 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 6¢ $83 16h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 28¢ $15 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 70¢ $1,009 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 30¢ $267 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 52¢ $507 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $961 17h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 52¢ $507 18h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? SELL Yes 82¢ $340 24h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Draw at halftime? BUY Yes 48¢ $203 25h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $425 27h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $213 30h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 15¢ $91 30h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners SELL Over 53¢ $120 31h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 50¢ $102 35h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 57¢ $41 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 57¢ $92 45h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Over 52¢ $233 45h
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY JD Gaming 52¢ $161 6d
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner SELL GAM Esports 99¢ $161 6d
LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 4 Winner BUY GAM Esports 77¢ $127 6d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $126 6d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 83¢ $107 6d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner SELL JD Gaming 19¢ $106 6d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY JD Gaming 30¢ $131 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-19.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 16 -21.6% -29.0% 38% 38% -46.1%
≤30d 137 -10.6% -19.1% 52% 49% -22.0%
≤90d 513 -12.9% -21.2% 50% 47% -23.3%
all 545 -10.9% -19.4% 52% 49% -21.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.4% 49% -21.2%
10% ← realistic here -27.1% 44% -28.7%
15% -34.1% 36% -35.6%
20% -40.6% 24% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.43 · official $0.43 (match) · 1370 history records