Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T19:43:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
8C 0x8ceb…b11b crypto 343 markets active 0h ago coverage 62d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$5,904 (+1%) realized +$5,904 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +5% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR2%break-even
Win rate100%343W / 0L
Whale WR100%big bets
Drawdown0%max
Avg bet$1,214per market
Trades / day27.0pace
Kalshi-fit84%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$156
7 days+$1,518
14 days+$2,601
30 days+$3,450
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 97% +$4,907
other 3% +$897
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 +1.9% -7.8% 100% 2% -8.1%
≤30d 140 +9.2% -1.2% 100% 3% -7.9%
≤90d 343 +4.6% -5.4% 100% 2% -8.3%
all 343 +4.6% -5.4% 100% 2% -8.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover27.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 2% -8.3%
10% -14.4% 1% -17.0%
15% ← realistic here -22.7% 1% -25.1%
20% -30.3% 0% -32.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 21% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +1% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
98% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +5% · $-wt +1% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR 100% (≥$1,375) strong on big bets
Persistence
early +1% → late +8% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
4.9 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$17 vs — no data
Profit factor
— no data
Copy size
≥ $700 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

62d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$5,904
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses343 / 0
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)343 / 343
History coverage62d
Avg bet$1,214
Trades / day27.0
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit84%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 343 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 18 $279 +$3 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 18 $18 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 18 $74 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 18 $7,585 +$77 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 18 $16 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 18 $61 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $175 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 18 $53 +$1 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 17 $67 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 17 $806 +$10 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 17 $91 +$1 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 17 $130 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 17 $190 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $4,560 +$54 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 17 $7,579 +$8 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 17 $356 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 16 $56 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 16 $1,081 +$58 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 16 $5,334 +$63 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 16 $170 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 16 $545 +$15 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $3,913 +$40 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 15 $15 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $11 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 15, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 15 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 15 $1,647 +$461 +28%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 14 $159 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $6,790 +$79 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $6,733 +$68 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $151 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $426 +$10 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $4,628 +$56 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $142 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $767 +$10 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $139 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $4,543 +$105 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $6,483 +$65 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $6,418 +$65 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $3,207 +$30 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $233 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $3,606 +$34 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $178 +$2 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $214 +$22 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6,265 +$63 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $193 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $117 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $6,200 +$63 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $767 +$17 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 18, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $279 13m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $18 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $74 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7,585 7h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $16 9h
BNB Up or Down - June 18, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $61 10h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 18, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $175 12h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $53 19h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $67 25h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $806 26h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $91 35h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 17, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $130 38h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $190 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $814 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3,746 39h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $7,579 42h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $356 45h
BNB Up or Down - June 16, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $56 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1,081 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5,334 2d
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $170 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $545 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $9 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $182 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $25 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $261 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2106 history records