trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -3.5% | -12.7% | 0% | 0% | -12.9% |
| ≤90d | 25 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 12% | 4% | -11.1% |
| all | 25 | +2.0% | -7.7% | 12% | 4% | -11.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.7% | 4% | -11.1% |
| 10% | -16.5% | 4% | -19.6% |
| 15% | -24.6% | 4% | -27.4% |
| 20% | -32.0% | 4% | -34.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30? | Jun 11 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | Apr 20 | $7 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | Apr 20 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 18 to April 20, 2026? | Apr 19 | $1 | $0 | -8% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | Apr 19 | $1 | +$1 | +113% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 17 | $17 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Pistons vs. Hornets | Apr 10 | $23 | −$1 | -4% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Apr 10 | $7 | $0 | -2% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | Apr 10 | $10 | $0 | -3% |
| Cavaliers vs. Hawks | Apr 10 | $4 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 08 | $32 | $0 | -0% |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | Apr 08 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 07 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Apr 04 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport less than 200k people? | Apr 04 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? | Apr 03 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advance to the general election for WA-03 | Apr 03 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting? | Apr 03 | $5 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Carlos Álvarez finish in first place in the first round of the 20 | Apr 03 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | Apr 02 | $2 | $0 | -3% |
| 76ers vs. Heat | Mar 28 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 28 | $15 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 28 | $3 | $0 | -2% |