trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 10% | 0% | -10.8% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.4% | -12.6% | 10% | 0% | -10.8% |
| all | 18 | -4.4% | -13.5% | 39% | 6% | -18.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.5% | 6% | -18.2% |
| 10% | -21.8% | 6% | -26.0% |
| 15% | -29.4% | 6% | -33.2% |
| 20% | -36.3% | 0% | -39.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | Jun 17 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 02 | $31 | $0 | +0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 01 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31? | May 30 | $91 | +$1 | +2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | May 30 | $31 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 27 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 27 | $30 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | May 26 | $13 | −$3 | -26% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | May 26 | $33 | −$1 | -2% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | May 26 | $19 | −$1 | -6% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Raymond Burke be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | Mar 26 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Nancy Pelosi applaud during Trump's address to Congress? | Mar 06 | $61 | −$61 | -100% |
| Will Trump say 'mandate' 5+ times times during the 2025 State of the U | Mar 04 | $63 | $0 | +0% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Blackhawks | Mar 04 | $43 | +$20 | +45% |