Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8cb8…d398
crypto · 1738 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$68 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1557 / 181
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1738 / 1738
History coverage23d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day83.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1738 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days−$26
14 days−$102
30 days−$68
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$68
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 309 -2.0% -11.3% 89% 26% -10.7%
≤30d 1738 -1.0% -10.4% 90% 32% -10.1%
≤90d 1738 -1.0% -10.4% 90% 32% -10.1%
all 1738 -1.0% -10.4% 90% 32% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover83.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 32% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 0% -18.7%
15% -26.8% 0% -26.5%
20% -34.0% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records