Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:10:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8cb3…7317
sports · 4 markets active 2h ago
6.5score
+$5 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$7 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✓ COPY-WORTHY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$33
Realized+$7
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses2 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)2 / 4
History coverage2d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 2 History 2 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$7
7 days+$7
14 days+$7
30 days+$7
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Canada (-1.5) Bosnia and Herzegovina 91¢ 100¢ $30 $33 +$3 (+10%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$7 +65%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 80% +$9
other 10% −$5
crypto 10% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 40¢ $5 1h
Spread: Canada (-1.5) BUY Bosnia and Herzegovina 91¢ $30 1h
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 60¢ $10 25h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? BUY No 85¢ $5 45h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
worth copying (survives realistic slippage)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+27.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 +40.6% +27.2% 100% 100% +34.5%
≤30d 2 +40.6% +27.2% 100% 100% +34.5%
≤90d 2 +40.6% +27.2% 100% 100% +34.5%
all 2 +40.6% +27.2% 100% 100% +34.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +27.2% 100% +34.5%
10% +15.0% 50% +21.6%
15% +3.9% 50% +9.8%
20% -6.3% 50% -0.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $33.01 · official $33.64 (match) · 6 history records