trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | +22.9% | +11.2% | 75% | 50% | +35.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -17.9% | -25.7% | 64% | 18% | -98.6% |
| all | 18 | -21.3% | -28.8% | 67% | 11% | -98.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -28.8% | 11% | -98.5% |
| 10% | -35.6% | 11% | -98.6% |
| 15% | -41.8% | 11% | -98.7% |
| 20% | -47.5% | 11% | -98.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Yes | 57¢ | 56¢ | $160 | $159 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 29 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | May 29 | $31 | +$28 | +90% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | May 29 | $41 | +$39 | +93% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET | May 29 | $21 | −$20 | -97% |
| Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5 | Apr 17 | $5,000 | −$4,922 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 216.5 | Apr 14 | $3,597 | −$3,544 | -98% |
| Kings vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 225.5 | Apr 13 | $2,642 | −$1,179 | -45% |
| Will Keya Kellum get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio? | Apr 11 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between | Apr 11 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| No change in Swiss National Bank policy rate after March Meeting? | Apr 11 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March | Apr 11 | $4 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State | Mar 04 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | Feb 23 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Will Trump say "China" during the State of the Union address? | Feb 23 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by January 31, 2026? | Feb 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by January 31? | Feb 23 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Odds of Khamenei out by February over 30% in January? | Feb 23 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by January 31? | Feb 23 | $3 | $0 | +3% |