Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:38:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c97…5c66
sports · 249 markets active 0h ago
1.5score
+$675 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$692 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$235
Realized+$692
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses130 / 102
Est. fees paid−$106
Open positions16
Markets (closed)232 / 249
History coverage4d
Avg bet$34
Trades / day64.2
Drawdown88%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 16 History 232 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$260
7 days+$692
14 days+$692
30 days+$692
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Legacy 66¢ 84¢ $30 $38 +$8 (+27%)
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 56¢ 60¢ $30 $32 +$2 (+8%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Seattle Mariners 40¢ 36¢ $30 $27 −$3 (-9%)
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec Viktorija Golubic 66¢ 74¢ $24 $27 +$3 (+11%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Katarzyna Kawa 47¢ 36¢ $30 $23 −$7 (-22%)
AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves Toronto Marlies 45¢ 100¢ $10 $22 +$12 (+122%)
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? No 39¢ 86¢ $6 $12 +$7 (+122%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Power Rangers 65¢ 94¢ $8 $11 +$4 (+44%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Eintracht Spandau 35¢ 100¢ $4 $11 +$7 (+186%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner Team Heretics Academy 70¢ 100¢ $7 $10 +$3 (+42%)
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner G2 NORD 32¢ 100¢ $3 $8 +$5 (+212%)
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals Yes 49¢ 51¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+4%)
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-2.5) Seattle Mariners 32¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$1 (-14%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Alexander Shevchenko 56¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+79%)
Set Handicap: Toth (-1.5) vs Jakupovic (+1.5) Jakupovic 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Mannarino vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Under 55¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+82%)
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Miami Marlins 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner Power Rangers 41¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner Karmine Corp Blue 67¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 27¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Filippo Romano vs. Jack Pinnington Jones: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: McNally vs Sierra Sierra 41¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5) Sierra 53¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev Demin 26¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Set Handicap: Trungelliti (-1.5) vs Galan (+1.5) Trungelliti 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $27 +$73 +276%
BC Lietkabelis Panevezys vs. BC Neptunas Klaipeda Jun 13 $33 +$31 +96%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $30 +$20 +65%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$44 +146%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $31 +$76 +250%
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 23.5 Jun 13 $6 +$5 +70%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $31 +$63 +206%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $30 +$11 +36%
ITF Zagreb: Kajsa Rinaldo Persson vs Anna-Lena Friedsam Jun 13 $30 +$20 +67%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$14 +48%
Jesper de Jong vs. Enrico Dalla Valle: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +70%
Jong vs. Valle: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $2 +$3 +105%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon Jun 13 $30 +$10 +34%
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Sanchis (+1.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +52%
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $3 +$2 +50%
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $8 −$7 -98%
Ilkley: Katie Swan vs Ashlyn Krueger Jun 13 $30 +$10 +34%
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$21 +70%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Set Handicap: Kovacevic (-1.5) vs Mmoh (+1.5) Jun 13 $4 +$2 +40%
Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Kukushkin Jun 13 $30 +$11 +38%
Mannarino vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 +81%
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Set Handicap: Raducanu (-1.5) vs Rakhimova (+1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$18 +60%
Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs Minaur Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +67%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$16 +52%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $31 +$44 +146%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $14 +$21 +146%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Montgomery vs Tomljanovic Jun 13 $0 $0 -99%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Set Handicap: Krejcikova (-1.5) vs Linette (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 −$5 -99%
ITF Varnamo: Aristotelis Thanos vs Niels Mcdonald Jun 13 $30 +$12 +40%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Aran Teixido Garcia Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$29 -98%
ITF kiseljak: Yaroslav Demin vs Andrey Chepelev Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
Set 1 Winner: Demin vs Chepelev Jun 13 $14 −$14 -98%
ITF Varnamo: Henry Bernet vs Sandro Kopp Jun 13 $31 −$30 -98%
ITF Hurghada: Polina Iatcenko vs Anastasia Tikhonova Jun 13 $30 −$30 -99%
ITF Tokyo: Naoya Honda vs Alan Magadan Jun 13 $30 +$14 +48%
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) Jun 13 $4 −$4 -98%
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5) Jun 13 $30 +$16 +52%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5) Jun 13 $31 +$55 +180%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $3 +$10 +276%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jun 13 $30 +$12 +40%
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Jun 13 $4 +$1 +36%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Spencer Johnson vs Nathan Trouve Jun 13 $25 +$10 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$622
other 1% +$53
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Katarzyna Kawa 47¢ $30 1m
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Viktorija Golubic vs Veronika Erjavec BUY Viktorija Golubic 66¢ $25 14m
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 4 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 70¢ $7 28m
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner BUY G2 NORD 32¢ $3 1h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers (BO3) - European Pro League Gr BUY Power Rangers 65¢ $8 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 3 Winner BUY Karmine Corp Blue 67¢ $30 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron BUY Marcos Giron 60¢ $30 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 66¢ $30 1h
Will CD Coquimbo Unido win on 2026-06-14? BUY No 39¢ $6 1h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic BUY Emma Raducanu 26¢ $27 2h
Prizmic vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 23.5 BUY Over 58¢ $6 2h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 27¢ $1 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 35¢ $4 2h
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Power Rangers - Game 1 Winner BUY Power Rangers 41¢ $28 2h
LoL: Galions vs Misa Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Misa Esports 28¢ $8 2h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 1 Winner BUY Eintracht Spandau 40¢ $31 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Rinky Hijikata 32¢ $31 3h
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 37¢ $3 3h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 1 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 28¢ $31 3h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 73¢ $30 3h
Mannarino vs. Minaur: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Under 55¢ $0 4h
Set Handicap: Cina (-1.5) vs Daniel (+1.5) BUY Cina 41¢ $3 4h
Set Handicap: Boyer (-1.5) vs Sanchis (+1.5) BUY Sanchis 65¢ $1 4h
Set 1 Winner: Mannarino vs Minaur BUY Mannarino 67¢ $30 4h
Jesper de Jong vs. Enrico Dalla Valle: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Over 2.5 58¢ $3 4h
Sanchis vs. Boyer: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 66¢ $3 4h
Jong vs. Valle: Match O/U 21.5 BUY Over 48¢ $2 4h
Set Handicap: Minaur (-1.5) vs Mannarino (+1.5) BUY Minaur 58¢ $30 4h
Set Handicap: Kovacevic (-1.5) vs Mmoh (+1.5) BUY Kovacevic 71¢ $4 4h
Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs Kukushkin BUY Bellucci 72¢ $30 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-5.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 232 +4.5% -5.4% 56% 55% -1.8%
≤30d 232 +4.5% -5.4% 56% 55% -1.8%
≤90d 232 +4.5% -5.4% 56% 55% -1.8%
all 232 +4.5% -5.4% 56% 55% -1.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -5.4% 55% -1.8%
10% ← realistic here -14.5% 54% -11.2%
15% -22.7% 50% -19.8%
20% -30.3% 38% -27.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $235.38 · official $229.89 · 402 history records