Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c8c…8672
crypto · 1791 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3,740 -19%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,740 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$9
Realized−$3,740
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)82%
Wins / losses1510 / 326
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1836 / 1791
Avg bet$11
Trades / day100.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1836 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,509
7 days−$3,567
14 days−$3,644
30 days−$3,740
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Up 84¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Down 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 78¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+28%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Down 67¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Down 87¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+15%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Up 80¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+25%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 81¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+23%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 89¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+33%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$99 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $499 −$499 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$19 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $295 −$295 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $276 −$276 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $499 −$499 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $49 −$49 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $98 −$197 -200%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$3 -35%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$2 -20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$143
sports 0% −$96
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $9 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Down 76¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 45¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 53¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 61¢ $8 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 61¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET SELL Up 67¢ $7 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 66¢ $6 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $6 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +34%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 429 -18.7% -26.5% 62% 59% -68.5%
≤30d 1836 -4.7% -13.7% 82% 34% -23.3%
≤90d 1836 -4.7% -13.7% 82% 34% -23.3%
all 1836 -4.7% -13.7% 82% 34% -23.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover100.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.7% 34% -23.3%
10% ← realistic here -22.0% 19% -30.6%
15% -29.5% 9% -37.3%
20% -36.4% 4% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $8.92 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records