trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 16 | +38.6% | +25.4% | 56% | 31% | -0.4% |
| ≤30d | 29 | +24.0% | +12.2% | 62% | 41% | +0.9% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +24.0% | +12.2% | 62% | 41% | +0.9% |
| all | 31 | +23.0% | +11.3% | 61% | 42% | +0.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +11.3% | 42% | +0.8% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +0.6% | 32% | -8.8% |
| 15% | -9.1% | 23% | -17.6% |
| 20% | -18.0% | 10% | -25.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barry Moore be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | No | 13¢ | 20¢ | $1,944 | $3,089 | +$1,145 (+59%) |
| Will Jared Hudson be the Republican nominee for Senate in Alabama? | Yes | 21¢ | 22¢ | $2,478 | $2,703 | +$225 (+9%) |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Yes | 18¢ | 4¢ | $5,228 | $1,282 | −$3,946 (-75%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 14¢ | 1¢ | $5,818 | $403 | −$5,415 (-93%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 5¢ | 1¢ | $1,350 | $146 | −$1,204 (-89%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini | Jun 15 | $1,854 | −$1,031 | -56% |
| Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez | Jun 15 | $1,916 | +$652 | +34% |
| Tucuman: Juan Estevez vs Matias Soto | Jun 15 | $11,063 | +$1,113 | +10% |
| Will Nithya Raman finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los Ang | Jun 15 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 15 | $12,175 | +$960 | +8% |
| Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes | Jun 15 | $1,568 | −$631 | -40% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET | Jun 15 | $11 | −$11 | -100% |
| Spread: Australia (-1.5) | Jun 14 | $5 | +$44 | +809% |
| Spread: Spurs (-11.5) | Jun 14 | $1,428 | +$618 | +43% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $13,636 | +$9,158 | +67% |
| Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt | Jun 11 | $2,767 | −$491 | -18% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals | Jun 11 | $14,019 | +$945 | +7% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 11 | $60 | −$49 | -81% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins | Jun 11 | $2 | +$1 | +40% |
| Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers | Jun 11 | $24,947 | +$1,685 | +7% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 11 | $18,421 | −$2,515 | -14% |
| Will Spencer Pratt finish second in the first round of the 2026 Los An | Jun 09 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 09 | $18,592 | +$2,148 | +12% |
| Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary elec | Jun 09 | $8,617 | +$2,418 | +28% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 07 | $1,087 | −$344 | -32% |
| Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights | Jun 07 | $621 | +$272 | +44% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 06 | $2,345 | +$305 | +13% |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary el | Jun 06 | $620 | +$132 | +21% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Jun 06 | $36 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 05 | $8,930 | +$272 | +3% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el | Jun 04 | $1,943 | +$67 | +4% |
| Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 20 | $1,840 | +$1,104 | +60% |
| Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | May 20 | $5,782 | +$1,880 | +32% |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm el | May 19 | $6,893 | −$143 | -2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 10 | $332 | +$162 | +49% |
| 2024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104 | Nov 06 | $486 | −$154 | -32% |