trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | -18.6% | -26.3% | 38% | 38% | -13.8% |
| ≤30d | 14 | -24.4% | -31.6% | 36% | 36% | -14.9% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +39.2% | +25.9% | 42% | 42% | +8.4% |
| all | 19 | +39.2% | +25.9% | 42% | 42% | +8.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +25.9% | 42% | +8.4% |
| 10% | +13.9% | 42% | -2.0% |
| 15% | +2.9% | 37% | -11.4% |
| 20% | -7.2% | 16% | -20.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 68¢ | 81¢ | $347 | $415 | +$68 (+20%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 18¢ | $50 | $56 | +$6 (+12%) |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 14¢ | $54 | $45 | −$9 (-16%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 11¢ | $30 | $30 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 11¢ | $20 | $26 | +$6 (+32%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $30 | $23 | −$7 (-22%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 7¢ | 7¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $8 | $8 | +$1 (+7%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| England to score first vs. Croatia? | Jun 17 | $18 | +$8 | +43% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $29 | +$13 | +44% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $78 | −$31 | -40% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 14 | $29 | −$15 | -50% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -97% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $30 | +$17 | +57% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $91 | +$27 | +30% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 13 | $54 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $54 | −$36 | -67% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main | Jun 13 | $40 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $20 | +$9 | +44% |
| Raúl Jiménez: 1+ goals | Jun 11 | $10 | −$5 | -48% |
| Will Gemini 3.2 be released on May 19? | May 19 | $6 | −$6 | -98% |
| UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card) | May 10 | $23 | +$90 | +387% |
| UFC: Strickland and Chimaev to Touch Gloves? | May 10 | $12 | +$103 | +854% |
| UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card) | May 09 | $45 | −$44 | -99% |
| EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch? | May 09 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26? | Mar 31 | $124 | +$56 | +45% |