Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T08:34:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
8C 0x8c72…70ce crypto 81 markets active 6d ago coverage 3d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (66 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 3d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL +$25 (+1%) realized +$25 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR30%break-even
Win rate77%62W / 19L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$47per market
Trades / day65.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% +$63
politics 5% −$82
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (66 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -13.4% -21.6% 64% 23% -16.2%
≤30d 81 -3.8% -13.0% 77% 30% -10.0%
≤90d 81 -3.8% -13.0% 77% 30% -10.0%
all 81 -3.8% -13.0% 77% 30% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover65.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.0% 30% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -21.3% 4% -18.6%
15% -28.9% 1% -26.4%
20% -35.9% 1% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 10% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
61% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +4% → late -11% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$4 vs −$13 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)77%
Wins / losses62 / 19
Open positions0
Markets (closed)81 / 81
History coverage3d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day65.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 81 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$6 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $20 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 10 $80 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 10 $80 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 10 $11 −$6 -52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 10 $21 −$7 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 10 $90 −$90 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 10 $91 +$10 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 10 $90 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 10 $91 +$6 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 10 $90 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 09 $90 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 09 $182 −$20 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 09 $91 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 09 $91 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 09 $91 +$7 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 09 $90 +$4 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 09 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 09 $40 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 09 $90 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 09 $91 +$8 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 09 $91 +$23 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 09 $90 +$3 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 09 $91 +$7 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $4 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 191 history records