Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T15:25:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c44…294e
crypto · 9 markets active 1h ago
2.5score
+$8 +20%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses5 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)9 / 9
History coverage1d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day29.0
Drawdown70%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 9 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$3 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$17 +331%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 77¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET SELL Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)+3.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 +14.6% +3.6% 56% 44% +10.7%
≤30d 9 +14.6% +3.6% 56% 44% +10.7%
≤90d 9 +14.6% +3.6% 56% 44% +10.7%
all 9 +14.6% +3.6% 56% 44% +10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover29.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +3.6% 44% +10.7%
10% ← realistic here -6.3% 33% +0.1%
15% -15.3% 33% -9.6%
20% -23.6% 22% -18.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 37 history records