Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c39…a41d
crypto · 241 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$682 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$682 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$682
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses109 / 132
Open positions0
Markets (closed)241 / 241
History coverage4d
Avg bet$52
Trades / day274.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 241 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$356
7 days−$682
14 days−$682
30 days−$682
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $46 $0 −$46 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$2 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $28 −$19 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $357 +$102 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $168 +$12 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $136 +$22 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$6 +91%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $73 +$15 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $73 −$1 -1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$2 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $79 −$18 -23%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $66 +$6 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$32 +107%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $145 −$4 -3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $157 +$29 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $36 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$10 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $103 −$5 -5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $22 +$4 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $86 +$4 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$3 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $190 −$28 -15%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$2 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $88 −$6 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $24 +$15 +62%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$9 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $168 +$30 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$5 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $120 +$14 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $48 +$73 +153%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $44 +$53 +122%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $49 +$58 +118%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$50 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$48 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $40 −$39 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $47 +$74 +159%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$48 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$682
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $7 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $18 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $52 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $17 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $3 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $9 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $9 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 6m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $6 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $10 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $2 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $6 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 7m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 241 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 41% -14.5%
≤30d 241 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 41% -14.5%
≤90d 241 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 41% -14.5%
all 241 -7.5% -16.3% 45% 41% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover274.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 41% -14.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 36% -22.7%
15% -31.6% 34% -30.1%
20% -38.3% 34% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1330 history records