Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:45:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c34…fc08
crypto · 93 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$190 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$190 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$190
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses45 / 48
Open positions0
Markets (closed)93 / 93
History coverage6d
Avg bet$43
Trades / day129.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 93 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$106
7 days−$190
14 days−$190
30 days−$190
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $13 −$3 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $23 −$3 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $33 +$7 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$12 +147%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 13 $43 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $11 −$1 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $40 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $32 −$11 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $43 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $72 −$7 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $58 +$5 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $45 −$19 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $87 −$27 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $122 −$22 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$2 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $86 −$6 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $56 −$16 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$16 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 11 $31 −$11 -36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $60 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $43 −$3 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $98 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $115 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $39 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $70 +$10 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $19 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $58 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $61 −$1 -1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$190
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 93 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 23% -13.8%
≤30d 93 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 23% -13.8%
≤90d 93 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 23% -13.8%
all 93 -3.3% -12.5% 48% 23% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover129.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 23% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -20.9% 11% -22.1%
15% -28.5% 8% -29.6%
20% -35.6% 5% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 987 history records