trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 100% | 0% | -5.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +4.9% | -5.1% | 100% | 0% | -5.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +3.3% | -6.5% | 100% | 0% | -7.1% |
| all | 20 | +12.8% | +2.0% | 80% | 30% | +2.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +2.0% | 30% | +2.5% |
| 10% | -7.7% | 25% | -7.3% |
| 15% | -16.6% | 20% | -16.3% |
| 20% | -24.8% | 10% | -24.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Solana dip to $50 in June? | No | 98¢ | 99¢ | $80 | $80 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? | Jun 21 | $75 | +$4 | +5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 20? | Apr 24 | $78 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Bundesliga? | Mar 25 | $5 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 23? | Mar 24 | $69 | +$2 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Mar 13 | $10 | +$4 | +44% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | Mar 13 | $10 | +$4 | +39% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Mar 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET | Mar 13 | $20 | +$5 | +23% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 7? | Mar 13 | $66 | $0 | +0% |
| Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch? | Mar 07 | $65 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on February 27? | Mar 06 | $15 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair? | Mar 06 | $48 | +$2 | +3% |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + JA21? | Feb 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Feb 18 | $5 | $0 | +10% |
| Will Yoshihiko Noda be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the | Feb 17 | $3 | +$3 | +100% |
| Will Solana dip to $60 in February? | Feb 15 | $40 | +$7 | +17% |
| Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21? | Feb 14 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? | Feb 12 | $236 | +$11 | +5% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Feb 12 | $244 | −$6 | -2% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 12AM ET | Feb 04 | $122 | +$122 | +100% |