Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:28:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c1c…66e9
other · 46 markets active 2h ago
2.0score
+$3 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$0 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$50
Realized+$0
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)100%
Wins / losses1 / 0
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions45
Markets (closed)1 / 46
History coverage1d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day37.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit28%
Chart Positions 45 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 21¢ 46¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+121%)
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? Yes 23¢ 23¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+0%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-6%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 Over 58¢ 97¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Over 43¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+50%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score Yes 46¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+37%)
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 71¢ 94¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? Yes 51¢ 62¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+23%)
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+17%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18? Yes 21¢ 24¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+12%)
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+8%)
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 15¢ 16¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+7%)
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 10¢ 10¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phase? Yes 18¢ 18¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? Yes 38¢ 38¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24? Yes 67¢ 68¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 Under 21¢ 21¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 86¢ 86¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 81¢ 80¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score No 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-24? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $1 $0 +16%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 73% +$2
sports 27% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Edin Džeko: 1+ goals BUY Yes 23¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 15¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 1h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 BUY Over 58¢ $1 2h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 0.5 BUY Under 21¢ $1 2h
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? BUY Yes 22¢ $1 9h
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Score BUY No 52¢ $1 11h
World Cup: Messi to Score a Free Kick? BUY Yes 24¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 46¢ $1 11h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 43¢ $1 11h
Mexico vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score BUY No 86¢ $1 23h
Brazil vs. Haiti: Both Teams to Score BUY No 66¢ $1 23h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Cabo Verde O/U 0.5 BUY Under 66¢ $1 23h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Spain O/U 3.5 BUY Over 47¢ $1 23h
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score BUY No 67¢ $1 23h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 3.5 BUY Over 61¢ $1 23h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Curaçao O/U 0.5 BUY Under 74¢ $1 23h
England vs. Croatia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 48¢ $1 23h
Will Any Team Participate in 3+ Penalty Shootouts in the Knockout Phas BUY Yes 18¢ $1 23h
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 23h
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 26h
Will Desire Doue be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 26h
Will Ousmane Dembele be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 26h
Will Lamine Yamal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 26h
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 26h
Will Norway advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 86¢ $1 31h
Will Japan advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 81¢ $1 31h
Will South Korea advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World BUY Yes 71¢ $1 31h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 BUY Yes 66¢ $1 31h
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27? BUY Yes 60¢ $1 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +100%
net ROI/market (all)+4.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 +15.8% +4.8% 100% 100% +4.8%
≤30d 1 +15.8% +4.8% 100% 100% +4.8%
≤90d 1 +15.8% +4.8% 100% 100% +4.8%
all 1 +15.8% +4.8% 100% 100% +4.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +4.8% 100% +4.8%
10% ← realistic here -5.3% 0% -5.3%
15% -14.4% 0% -14.4%
20% -22.8% 0% -22.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $50.06 · official $49.17 (match) · 48 history records