Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:13:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c0d…1068
sports · 452 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$369 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$320 · open −$49
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$320
Unrealized−$49
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses241 / 208
Est. fees paid−$75
Open positions3
Markets (closed)449 / 452
History coverage53d
Avg bet$14
Trades / day13.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 3 History 449 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$145
7 days−$67
14 days−$133
30 days−$830
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Team Falcons 67¢ 68¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 61¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-99%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 53¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 46¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $35 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$9 +60%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $15 +$12 +79%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $10 +$5 +46%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $21 −$14 -66%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports (BO5) - North American Challen Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars Academy vs KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas (BO5) - Circuit Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 4 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $4 −$4 -100%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $16 −$7 -44%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 11 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $12 −$12 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $15 −$15 -100%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $20 +$23 +114%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $20 +$5 +23%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $5 −$4 -74%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$6 +31%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $10 +$8 +79%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $17 +$4 +24%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $11 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $8 +$2 +27%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 +$3 +29%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $10 +$8 +76%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 +$5 +46%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $5 +$4 +86%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $5 +$5 +101%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $4 +$2 +57%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 −$5 -90%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $10 +$4 +36%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$3 +65%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $5 +$2 +48%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs KOLESIE (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 04 $5 +$4 +90%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 04 $5 −$3 -62%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $7 +$7 +101%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $5 +$2 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$192
world 3% −$170
other 1% −$2
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY Team Falcons 67¢ $10 7m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 61¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major SELL Team Falcons 69¢ $34 1h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Team Falcons 70¢ $35 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 53¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 39¢ $10 11h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 39¢ $5 20h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $5 28h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 62¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 55¢ $15 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 52¢ $5 28h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 68¢ $10 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 42¢ $6 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S SELL TheMongolz 37¢ $7 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 53¢ $10 33h
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY G2 Ares 46¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner BUY Young Ninjas 60¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner BUY Atreides 34¢ $5 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Dino 58¢ $5 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Dino 58¢ $5 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Dino 64¢ $10 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Dino 62¢ $10 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner SELL Saigon Dino 61¢ $10 2d
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner BUY Saigon Dino 31¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL BIG 12¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY BIG 44¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Legacy 76¢ $20 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY Monte 55¢ $10 3d
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 66¢ $11 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-13.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 44 -32.1% -38.6% 41% 41% -22.9%
≤30d 275 -24.8% -32.0% 44% 43% -28.7%
≤90d 449 -4.1% -13.2% 54% 53% -14.3%
all 449 -4.1% -13.2% 54% 53% -14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover13.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.2% 53% -14.3%
10% -21.5% 50% -22.5%
15% -29.1% 46% -30.0%
20% -36.1% 33% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.33 · official $10.33 (match) · 1073 history records