Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:09:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8C
0x8c0b…7aa5
sports · 149 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$750,770 -90%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$748,295 · open −$2,614
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Possible transfer/wash account
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5,904
Realized−$748,295
Unrealized−$2,614
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses86 / 351
Whale WR (big bets)26%
Est. fees paid−$13,708
Open positions7
Markets (closed)437 / 149
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5,604
Trades / day475.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 7 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$791,516
7 days−$721,438
14 days−$748,295
30 days−$748,295
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $1,363 $1,460 +$97 (+7%)
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner Team Heretics 33¢ 48¢ $968 $1,394 +$425 (+44%)
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 47¢ 50¢ $1,201 $1,277 +$77 (+6%)
Will FURIA win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $908 $1,060 +$152 (+17%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 18¢ 73¢ $137 $556 +$419 (+306%)
Will MOUZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $159 $154 −$4 (-3%)
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Leviatán Esports 54¢ 0¢ $3,783 $4 −$3,780 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 47¢ 0¢ $3,120 $0 −$3,120 (-100%)
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Winthrop University 45¢ 0¢ $5,905 $0 −$5,905 (-100%)
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season SK Gaming 51¢ 0¢ $4,844 $0 −$4,844 (-100%)
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) Invictus Gaming 45¢ 0¢ $284 $0 −$284 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 47¢ 0¢ $10,331 $0 −$10,331 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B M80 16¢ 0¢ $3,499 $0 −$3,499 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Trail Blazers 52¢ 0¢ $2,600 $0 −$2,600 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) Team Liquid 60¢ 0¢ $4,061 $0 −$4,061 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A NRG 36¢ 0¢ $3,333 $0 −$3,333 (-100%)
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Solary 39¢ 0¢ $389 $0 −$389 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Liquid 33¢ 0¢ $527 $0 −$527 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner FURIA 2¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 29¢ 0¢ $3,252 $0 −$3,252 (-100%)
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5) Galions 27¢ 0¢ $151 $0 −$151 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Over 7¢ 0¢ $65 $0 −$65 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Team Spirit 41¢ 0¢ $1,442 $0 −$1,442 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 28¢ 0¢ $688 $0 −$688 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 16¢ 0¢ $406 $0 −$406 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,120 −$3,120 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,905 −$5,905 -100%
LoL: Team Vitality vs SK Gaming (BO3) - LEC Regular Season Jun 12 $4,844 −$4,844 -100%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $284 −$284 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,331 −$10,299 -100%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs M80 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group B Jun 12 $3,499 −$4,792 -137%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 12 $2,600 −$2,600 -100%
Game Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Dignitas (+1.5) Jun 12 $4,061 −$3,885 -96%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs NRG (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group A Jun 12 $3,333 −$2,791 -84%
LoL: GIANTX vs Solary - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $389 −$399 -103%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Astralis - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $527 −$527 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Game Handicap: Navi (-1.5) vs Galions (+1.5) Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,442 −$1,442 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $688 −$688 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $406 −$406 -100%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1,084 −$1,084 -100%
Game Handicap: BRO (-1.5) vs DN SOOPers (+1.5) Jun 12 $21,771 −$21,771 -100%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Rio 2026? Jun 12 $3,866 −$3,883 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs M80 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $280 −$280 -100%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $265 −$265 -100%
LoL: RED Canids vs Vivo Keyd Stars - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $3,307 −$3,307 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $221 −$3 -1%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $5,026 −$5,026 -100%
LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,490 −$2,490 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $7,189 −$9,833 -137%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $825 −$825 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Jun 12 $0 +$530 +1514772%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $2,037 −$2,037 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Flyers Jun 12 $1,288 −$1,296 -101%
Madrid Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Casper Ruud Jun 12 $3,350 −$3,350 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $2,337 −$2,337 -100%
LoL: Winthrop University vs CCG Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5,000 −$4,645 -93%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $41 −$30 -75%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,416 −$1,269 -90%
LoL: Vitality.Bee vs Galions - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $817 −$817 -100%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Jun 12 $1,974 −$1,601 -81%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Jun 12 $2,825 −$2,823 -100%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Jun 12 $18,409 −$18,256 -99%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 Jun 12 $590 −$138 -24%
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Grou Jun 12 $4,089 −$3,964 -97%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $10,635 −$10,648 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $32 −$32 -100%
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Season Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Avalanche vs. Wild Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
LoL: Maryville University vs Conviction - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $315 +$293 +93%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 +$168 +4001%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers Jun 12 $715 −$715 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $347 −$347 -100%
Game Handicap: C9 (-1.5) vs Shopify Rebellion (+1.5) Jun 12 $2,333 −$2,333 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$421
other 0% +$245
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $41 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $132 0m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $47 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $20 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $35 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner SELL Team Heretics 37¢ $45 1m
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Heretics 33¢ $1,279 1m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $4 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $11 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $22 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $0 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $1 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $17 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $27 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $2 10m
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 18¢ $54 10m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 55¢ $2,233 40m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $4 40m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $760 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $80 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $103 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $3 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 53¢ $61 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 52¢ $264 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 50¢ $10 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 52¢ $267 41m
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Leviatán Esports 50¢ $36 41m
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 47¢ $48 1h
Game Handicap: ME (-1.5) vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (+1.5) BUY E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS 47¢ $213 1h
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026? BUY Yes 7¢ $0 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +15%
net ROI/market (all)-31.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 434 -24.1% -31.3% 20% 15% -50.8%
≤30d 437 -24.2% -31.5% 20% 15% -51.7%
≤90d 437 -24.2% -31.5% 20% 15% -51.7%
all 437 -24.2% -31.5% 20% 15% -51.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover475.1 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.5% 15% -51.7%
10% -38.0% 14% -56.3%
15% ← realistic here -44.0% 14% -60.5%
20% -49.5% 14% -64.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5,904.28 · official $5,905.00 (match) · 3500 history records