Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T05:58:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bd8…e18f
sports · 695 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$42 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$30 · open −$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$30
Unrealized−$9
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses367 / 320
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions8
Markets (closed)687 / 695
History coverage6d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day345.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 8 History 687 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days−$30
14 days−$30
30 days−$30
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? Yes 39¢ 15¢ $8 $3 −$5 (-62%)
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-3%)
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5) Seattle Storm 60¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+67%)
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) KT Rolster 51¢ 50¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster 11¢ 10¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 50¢ 2¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-97%)
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? No 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 30¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +83%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $4 +$1 +34%
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) Jun 13 $4 $0 -9%
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) Jun 13 $6 −$4 -66%
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) Jun 13 $4 +$1 +24%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +5%
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +134%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $4 +$1 +31%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +52%
Spread: New York Mets (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $2 +$2 +86%
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Houston Astros (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +86%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $5 +$2 +33%
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Spread: Houston Astros (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 +$1 +57%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -67%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-2.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $1 +$2 +129%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $2 +$6 +262%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +11%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $2 +$2 +77%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics Jun 13 $2 +$2 +92%
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) Jun 13 $1 +$3 +238%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-4.5) Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5) Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $10 −$8 -81%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 13 $6 $0 -8%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% +$26
crypto 27% −$35
world 3% +$1
other 3% −$31
politics 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster 11¢ $1 33m
Game Handicap: GEN (-2.5) vs KT Rolster (+2.5) BUY KT Rolster 51¢ $1 34m
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 98¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 90¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 94¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 84¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 52¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 70¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 77¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 5.5 BUY Under 84¢ $1 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-4.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 87¢ $1 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 96¢ $1 1h
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-3.5) BUY Chicago Cubs 96¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 54¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 76¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Athletics 58¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Over 51¢ $1 1h
Spread: Athletics (-2.5) BUY Athletics 26¢ $1 1h
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 32¢ $1 1h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 92¢ $1 2h
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-2.5) BUY Los Angeles Angels 25¢ $1 2h
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 79¢ $1 2h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 81¢ $1 2h
Spread: Athletics (-4.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 80¢ $1 2h
Spread: Athletics (-1.5) BUY Colorado Rockies 52¢ $1 2h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 47¢ $1 2h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins BUY Minnesota Twins 51¢ $1 2h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 99¢ $1 2h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 10.5 BUY Under 53¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-14.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 687 -5.9% -14.9% 53% 43% -10.7%
≤30d 687 -5.9% -14.9% 53% 43% -10.7%
≤90d 687 -5.9% -14.9% 53% 43% -10.7%
all 687 -5.9% -14.9% 53% 43% -10.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover345.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.9% 43% -10.7%
10% ← realistic here -23.0% 35% -19.3%
15% -30.5% 25% -27.1%
20% -37.3% 19% -34.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $9.58 · official $9.57 (match) · 2492 history records