Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:35:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bc6…acb6
crypto · 129 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$48 +13%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses86 / 42
Open positions1
Markets (closed)128 / 129
History coverage1d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day132.0
Drawdown33%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 128 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$36
7 days+$36
14 days+$36
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$4 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +101%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $2 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $5 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $2 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $2 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +67%
net ROI/market (all)-2.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +8.0% -2.3% 67% 67% -0.5%
≤30d 128 +8.0% -2.3% 67% 67% -0.5%
≤90d 128 +8.0% -2.3% 67% 67% -0.5%
all 128 +8.0% -2.3% 67% 67% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover132.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.3% 67% -0.5%
10% ← realistic here -11.6% 66% -10.0%
15% -20.2% 57% -18.7%
20% -28.0% 43% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.11 (match) · 218 history records