Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:11:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bbf…d9ad
crypto · 1300 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$383 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$383 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$383
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses728 / 572
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1300 / 1300
History coverage13d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day172.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 0 History 1300 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$524
7 days−$632
14 days−$383
30 days−$383
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $17 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 13 $27 +$11 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$21 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$3 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $19 −$8 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$9 +150%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$6 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $8 +$2 +27%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $59 −$42 -71%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $75 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $52 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $46 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $55 −$12 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$25 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$45 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $48 −$48 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$10 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $44 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $49 −$23 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $34 +$4 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $70 −$1 -2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 95% −$380
other 3% +$67
sports 1% −$70
politics 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET SELL Down 18¢ $14 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $16 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 46m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 29¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $6 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 36¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 82¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $53 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $16 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 851 -5.8% -14.8% 57% 45% -14.8%
≤30d 1300 -2.1% -11.4% 56% 45% -11.9%
≤90d 1300 -2.1% -11.4% 56% 45% -11.9%
all 1300 -2.1% -11.4% 56% 45% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover172.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 45% -11.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.9% 39% -20.4%
15% -27.6% 35% -28.1%
20% -34.7% 31% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records