trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 50% | 0% | -9.3% |
| all | 19 | -6.0% | -15.0% | 42% | 0% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -15.0% | 0% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -23.1% | 0% | -19.1% |
| 15% | -30.5% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -37.3% | 0% | -34.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $45 | $45 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 17 | $18 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 07 | $44 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 07 | $53 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $13 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 04 | $45 | $0 | -0% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | Jun 04 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Flamengo win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Dec 15 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will Walmart buy TikTok? | Jun 28 | $17 | −$3 | -18% |
| Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 25 | $1 | −$1 | -90% |
| Bitcoin above $111,000 on June 3? | Jun 08 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority? | May 18 | $3 | −$1 | -17% |
| Will Jayson Tatum play in Game 5? | May 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Ontario in the next | Apr 26 | $20 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 26 | $21 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League? | Apr 07 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tulsi Gabbard be out as Director of National Intelligence in Trum | Apr 06 | $23 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $210 in April? | Apr 04 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair? | Apr 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2025 National League Championship? | Apr 03 | $23 | $0 | +0% |