Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:57:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8bb8…5260
sports · 46 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$30 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$32 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$32
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses15 / 30
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)45 / 46
History coverage29d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$28
14 days−$116
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Team WE 79¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 18¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner EDward Gaming 3¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Team WE 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs JD Gaming 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 36¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Spurs 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards Shenzhen Leopards 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions Shenzhen Leopards 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 21¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner LGD Gaming 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 11¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Anyones Legend 23¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In Ninjas in Pyjamas 28¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 73¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Over 65¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner LGD Gaming 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Team WE 20¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 −$3 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2 −$2 -98%
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) Jun 06 $30 −$30 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $20 +$5 +26%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -97%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $30 −$30 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 06 $30 −$30 -99%
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) Jun 01 $30 +$7 +25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $8 +$8 +98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $13 +$13 +96%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $5 +$19 +365%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $13 +$38 +289%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $1 +$4 +414%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 30 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 29 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $1 −$1 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 27 $2 −$2 -97%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $15 +$23 +152%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $20 $0 -0%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner May 24 $3 −$2 -72%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming - Game 4 Winner May 24 $2 +$3 +123%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $2 −$2 -98%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 23 $7 +$10 +134%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 23 $7 +$9 +124%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $0 $0 -97%
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lions May 23 $1 −$1 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 23 $1 −$1 -97%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 21 $12 −$12 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 19 $2 −$2 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 19 $2 +$2 +93%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 19 $5 −$5 -98%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5 May 18 $1 +$1 +90%
Cavaliers vs. Pistons May 18 $2 +$2 +119%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner May 17 $8 −$1 -11%
Shanghai Sharks vs. Beijing Ducks May 17 $2 +$6 +276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -97%
Zhejiang Lions vs. Shenzhen Leopards May 16 $2 −$2 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% −$31
crypto 1% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY Top Esports 5¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 30¢ $3 21h
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 73¢ $3 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Anyones Legend 23¢ $2 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 4¢ $5 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 17¢ $10 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 36¢ $2 7d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 39¢ $2 7d
Game Handicap: TES (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5) BUY Team WE 79¢ $30 7d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Team WE 33¢ $5 7d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY JD Gaming 4¢ $5 7d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner BUY JD Gaming 11¢ $10 7d
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 79¢ $20 7d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 30¢ $5 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 41¢ $5 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 72¢ $20 8d
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 BUY Over 65¢ $30 8d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 51¢ $3 12d
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5) BUY Team WE 80¢ $30 12d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner BUY Team WE 31¢ $5 12d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 58¢ $2 14d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 65¢ $5 14d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 26¢ $10 14d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner BUY Team WE 23¢ $3 14d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner BUY Team WE 21¢ $5 14d
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY BNK FEARX 18¢ $2 14d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner BUY Team WE 19¢ $1 14d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 3 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 3¢ $2 15d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 1 Winner BUY EDward Gaming 9¢ $5 15d
LoL: Top Esports vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY LGD Gaming 28¢ $2 15d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-17.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 45 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -17.7%
≤90d 45 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -17.7%
all 45 -8.6% -17.3% 33% 33% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -17.3% 33% -17.7%
10% -25.2% 33% -25.6%
15% -32.5% 29% -32.8%
20% -39.1% 29% -39.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.01 · official $0.01 (match) · 79 history records