Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:26:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

8B
0x8b9a…5f69
sports · 88 markets active 1h ago
1.5score
+$3,417 +27%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,830 · open +$329
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$809
Realized+$2,830
Unrealized+$329
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses189 / 248
Est. fees paid−$818
Open positions13
Markets (closed)437 / 88
History coverage40d
Avg bet$144
Trades / day87.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 13 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$682
7 days+$1,283
14 days+$1,383
30 days+$2,782
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $56 $167 +$111 (+200%)
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $101 $100 −$1 (-1%)
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $59 $95 +$36 (+62%)
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes $34 $73 +$39 (+115%)
Will Portland Trail Blazers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $34 $65 +$31 (+90%)
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $52 $65 +$13 (+24%)
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $29 $59 +$29 (+100%)
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $41 $55 +$13 (+32%)
Will Indiana Pacers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $24 $48 +$23 (+95%)
Will Houston Rockets win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $17 $33 +$15 (+88%)
Will Chicago Bulls win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $21 $31 +$10 (+47%)
Will Los Angeles Clippers win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $7 $13 +$6 (+82%)
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes $5 $7 +$3 (+61%)
Celtics vs. Heat Heat $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Bucks $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Magic vs. Cavaliers Magic $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bucks vs. Clippers Bucks $0 $0 −$0 (-98%)
Nets vs. Nuggets Nets $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Thunder Spurs $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Nets Nets $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Suns vs. Knicks Knicks $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Grizzlies $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. 76ers 76ers $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bulls vs. Lakers Bulls $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Heat $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Celtics vs. Heat Jun 12 $0 +$2 +1548%
Timberwolves vs. Bucks Jun 12 $35 −$34 -98%
Magic vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $17 +$19 +111%
Bucks vs. Clippers Jun 12 $0 +$2 +91956%
Nets vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $2 +$3 +160%
Spurs vs. Thunder Jun 12 $0 +$17 +7835%
Hornets vs. Nets Jun 12 $6 −$1 -18%
Suns vs. Knicks Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies Jun 12 $10 +$2 +20%
Cavaliers vs. 76ers Jun 12 $40 −$43 -107%
Bulls vs. Lakers Jun 12 $0 −$2 -826%
Heat vs. Trail Blazers Jun 12 $17 −$24 -145%
Suns vs. Nets Jun 12 $10 −$3 -27%
Hornets vs. Celtics Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
76ers vs. Wizards Jun 12 $2 −$6 -397%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $16 −$1 -7%
Raptors vs. Clippers Jun 12 $10 +$24 +235%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Nets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $62 −$62 -100%
Hornets vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $35 +$5 +15%
Thunder vs. Spurs Jun 12 $2 −$34 -1576%
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines Jun 12 $20 +$103 +515%
Knicks vs. Warriors Jun 12 $52 −$38 -72%
Celtics vs. 76ers Jun 12 $37 −$37 -100%
Clippers vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $15 −$12 -76%
Warriors vs. Jazz Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Wizards vs. Knicks Jun 12 $14 −$17 -124%
Lakers vs. Rockets Jun 12 $2 +$37 +1916%
Magic vs. Pistons Jun 12 $1 −$19 -2314%
Thunder vs. Celtics Jun 12 $51 +$162 +316%
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Jun 12 $11 +$21 +188%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $14 +$72 +497%
Rockets vs. Lakers Jun 12 $5 −$13 -272%
Knicks vs. Timberwolves Jun 12 $7 −$2 -32%
Lakers vs. Clippers Jun 12 $2 +$24 +1202%
Bulls vs. Nets Jun 12 $9 +$7 +79%
Pistons vs. Knicks Jun 12 $1 +$3 +254%
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $209 −$221 -106%
Suns vs. Grizzlies Jun 12 $4 +$3 +73%
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Jun 12 $45 −$39 -86%
Mavericks vs. Cavaliers Jun 12 $6 +$26 +412%
Rockets vs. Trail Blazers Jun 12 $1 −$1 -208%
Rockets vs. Knicks Jun 12 $10 +$70 +700%
Jazz vs. Clippers Jun 12 $10 −$11 -110%
Spurs vs. Nuggets Jun 12 $25 −$19 -76%
Jazz vs. Thunder Jun 12 $1 $0 -0%
Celtics vs. Clippers Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$3,180
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $5 35m
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 35m
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $3 35m
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $4 1h
Will Washington Wizards win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL Yes $0 5h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes $3 14h
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $9 18h
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $35 18h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes $0 33h
Will Orlando Magic win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL Yes $1 33h
Will Phoenix Suns win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $1 33h
Will Dallas Mavericks win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $2 33h
Will Milwaukee Bucks win the 2027 NBA Finals? SELL Yes $22 33h
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? BUY Yes $2 33h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? SELL Yes $3 33h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $4 33h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $1 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $1 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $1 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $1 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
Will Dylan Harper win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY Yes $0 39h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+269.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 377 +313.4% +274.0% 42% 42% +9.2%
≤30d 418 +310.5% +271.4% 43% 43% +19.9%
≤90d 437 +308.1% +269.2% 43% 43% +17.5%
all 437 +308.1% +269.2% 43% 43% +17.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover87.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +269.2% 43% +17.5%
10% ← realistic here +233.9% 42% +6.3%
15% +201.6% 40% -4.0%
20% +172.1% 39% -13.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $809.45 · official $920.12 · 3500 history records