trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 7? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +57% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +901% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +38% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +228% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +488% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 29 to June 5, 2026? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | +60% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 8? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on June 7? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 5? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on June 9? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 4? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 6? | Jun 12 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 11? | Jun 11 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 10? | Jun 10 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on June 10? | Jun 09 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 22 | +33.6% | +20.8% | 50% | 45% | -16.2% |
| ≤30d | 22 | +33.6% | +20.8% | 50% | 45% | -16.2% |
| ≤90d | 22 | +33.6% | +20.8% | 50% | 45% | -16.2% |
| all | 22 | +33.6% | +20.8% | 50% | 45% | -16.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +20.8% | 45% | -16.2% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +9.3% | 32% | -24.2% |
| 15% | -1.3% | 27% | -31.6% |
| 20% | -11.0% | 23% | -38.3% |